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THE ASTORIAN • TUESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2021
Group of scientists warn of
worsening global warming
By SETH BORENSTEIN
Associated Press
Earth is getting so hot
that temperatures in about a
decade will probably blow
past a level of warming that
world leaders have sought
to prevent, according to a
report released Monday that
the United Nations called a
“code red for humanity.”
“It’s just guaranteed that
it’s going to get worse,”
said report co-author Linda
Mearns, a senior climate sci-
entist at the U.S. National
Center for Atmospheric
Research. “Nowhere to run,
nowhere to hide.”
But scientists also eased
back a bit on the likelihood
of the absolute worst climate
catastrophes.
The authoritative Inter-
governmental Panel on Cli-
mate Change report, which
calls climate change clearly
human-caused and “unequiv-
ocal” and “an established
fact,” makes more precise
and warmer forecasts for the
21st century than it did last
time it was issued in 2013.
Each of fi ve scenarios
for the future, based on how
much carbon emissions are
cut, passes the more strin-
gent of two thresholds set in
the 2015 Paris climate agree-
ment. World leaders agreed
then to try to limit warming
to 1.5 degrees Celsius above
levels in the late 19th century
because problems mount
quickly after that. The world
has already warmed nearly
1.1 degrees since then.
Under each scenario, the
report said, the world will
cross the 1.5-degree warm-
ing mark in the 2030s, earlier
than some past predictions.
Warming has ramped up in
recent years, data shows.
“Our report shows that we
need to be prepared for going
into that level of warming in
the coming decades. But we
Julie Jacobson/AP Photo
The Staten Island Ferry departs from the Manhattan terminal through a haze of smoke with
the Statue of Liberty barely visible in New York as smoke from Oregon’s Bootleg fi re reached
the East Coast in July.
can avoid further levels of
warming by acting on green-
house gas emissions,” said
report co-chair Valerie Mas-
son-Delmotte, a climate sci-
entist at France’s Laboratory
of Climate and Environment
Sciences at the University of
Paris-Saclay.
In three scenarios, the
world will also likely exceed
2 degrees over pre-industrial
times — the less stringent
Paris goal — with far worse
heat waves, droughts and
fl ood-inducing downpours
unless there are deep emis-
sions cuts, the report said.
“This report tells us that
recent changes in the cli-
mate are widespread, rapid
and intensifying, unprec-
edented in thousands of
years,” said Ko Barrett, the
climate change report pan-
el’s vice chair and a senior
climate adviser for the U.S.
National Oceanic and Atmo-
spheric Administration.
With crucial international
climate negotiations coming
up in Scotland in November,
world leaders said the report
is causing them to try harder
to cut carbon pollution. U.S.
Secretary of State Anthony
Blinken called it “a stark
reminder.”
The
3,000-plus-page
report from 234 scientists
said warming is already
accelerating sea level rise
and worsening extremes
such as heat waves, droughts,
fl oods and storms. Tropical
cyclones are getting stronger
and wetter, while Arctic sea
ice is dwindling in the sum-
mer and permafrost is thaw-
ing. All of these trends will
get worse, the report said.
For example, the kind of
heat wave that used to hap-
pen only once every 50 years
now happens once a decade,
and if the world warms
another degree, it will hap-
pen twice every seven years,
the report said.
As the planet warms,
places will get hit more not
just by extreme weather but
by multiple climate disas-
ters at once, the report said.
That’s like what’s now hap-
pening in the Western U.S.,
where heat waves, drought
and wildfi res compound
the damage, Mearns said.
Extreme heat is also driving
massive fi res in Greece and
Turkey.
Some harm from climate
change — dwindling ice
sheets, rising sea levels and
changes in the oceans as they
lose oxygen and become
more acidic — is “irrevers-
ible for centuries to millen-
nia,” the report said.
The world is “locked in”
to 6 to 12 inches of sea level
rise by mid-century, said
report co-author Bob Kopp
of Rutgers University.
Scientists have issued
this message for more than
three decades, but the world
hasn’t listened, said United
Nations Environment Pro-
gram Executive Director
Inger Andersen.
For the fi rst time, the
report off ers an interactive
atlas for people to see what
has happened and may hap-
pen to where they live.
Nearly all of the warming
that has happened on Earth
can be blamed on emissions
of heat-trapping gases such
as carbon dioxide and meth-
ane. At most, natural forces
or simple randomness can
explain one- or two-tenths
of a degree of warming, the
report said.
The report described
fi ve diff erent future scenar-
ios based on how much the
world reduces carbon emis-
sions. They are: a future with
incredibly large and quick
pollution cuts; another with
intense pollution cuts but
not quite as massive; a sce-
nario with moderate emis-
sion cuts; a fourth scenario
where current plans to make
small pollution reductions
continue; and a fi fth possible
future involving continued
increases in carbon pollution.
SPORTS
Three coaches of the year
for Clatsop County baseball
The Astorian
For the fi rst time since
2014 (not counting the can-
celed 2020 season), no
baseball team from Clatsop
County played for a state
championship in the short-
ened spring season.
Still, for the locals, the
season featured three league
Coaches of the Year, two
league champions and one
Player of the Year.
Warrenton and Knappa
came the closest, both
advancing to the fi nal eight
of the unoffi cial state tour-
naments for 3A and 2A.
At the 4A level, Sea-
side’s Brett Wolfe — in his
fi rst year with the Gulls —
was named as one of the
Coach of the Year recipi-
ents in the Cowapa League,
along with Joe Baumgartner
of league champion Banks.
The Braves had all nine
starters earn all-league hon-
ors, including Player of the
COWAPA
ALL-LEAGUE
Player of the Year: Charlie White,
Banks
Pitcher of the Year: Riley Har-
baugh, Banks
Coaches of the Year: Joe
Baumgartner, Banks; Brett Wolfe,
Seaside
First Team
P: Riley Harbaugh, Sr., Banks
P: Tanner Kraushaar, So., Seaside
P: Gunnar Olson, So., Astoria
C: Colton Harmon, Sr., Tillamook
C: Riley Kuhl, Sr., Seaside
C: Charlie White, Jr., Banks
Inf: Cole Belden, Jr., Banks
Inf: Wyat Hesselman, Fr., Banks
Inf: Cam Louie, Sr., Banks
Inf: Justin Morris, Sr., Seaside
Inf: Trask Petersen, So., Tillamook
Inf: Conner Stone, Sr., Banks
Inf: Lawson Talamantez, Jr.,
Seaside
OF: Will French, Sr., Valley Catholic
OF: Colten Hesselman, Jr., Banks
OF: Isaac Hornbeak, Sr., Tillamook
OF: Tony Tumbarello, Sr., Astoria
OF: Jarred White, Jr., Seaside
Honorable Mention
P: Niko Boudreau, So., Astoria
C: Alex Wesselman, Sr., Valley
Catholic
Inf: Karson Hawkins, So., Astoria
OF: Logan Kind, So., Banks
OF: Eliott King, Sr., Banks
OF: Parker McKibbin, So., Tillamook
OF: Andrew Teubner, Sr., Seaside
Coastal Range All-League
Gary Henley/The Astorian
In his fi rst year as Seaside
baseball coach, Brett Wolfe
was one of two Coaches of the
Year in the Cowapa League.
Year Charlie White and
Pitcher of the Year Riley Har-
baugh. Seaside had six play-
ers on the all-league team.
In the 3A Coastal Range
League, Warrenton’s Len-
nie Wolfe was selected as
Coach of the Year for the
12th time, while all nine
Warrior starters — seven of
whom return next season —
earned all-league honors.
Knappa’s Jeff Miller was
Coach of the Year in the 2A
Northwest League, with
Logger junior Drew Miller
the Player of the Year.
Player of the Year: Brayden Mar-
cum, Rainier
Coach of the Year: Lennie Wolfe,
Warrenton
Sportsmanship: Clatskanie
First Team
Brayden Marcum, Sr., Rainier
Dylon Atwood, So., Warrenton
Jake Breeden, Sr., Rainier
Ethan Caldwell, Jr., Warrenton
Josh Earls, Jr., Warrenton
Duane Falls, Sr., Warrenton
Korbin Howell, Sr., Rainier
Topher McDonnell, Fr., Clatskanie
Francisco Ramos, Sr., Taft
Darius Smith, Sr., Taft
Austin Stout, So., Rainier
Kenney Tripp, Jr., Rainier
Second Team
Hordie Bodden Bodden, Jr.,
Warrenton
Dominik Briant, Sr., Willamina
Logan Chapman, Jr., Rainier
Baron Delameter, So., Taft
Nic George, Sr., Rainier
Kaden Hindman, Jr., Taft
Dawson Little, So., Warrenton
Bobby McEwen, Sr., Willamina
Kyle Souther, Sr., Rainier
Nathan Streibeck, Jr., Warrenton
Mikey Ulness, So., Warrenton
Jordyn Ward, Sr., Clatskanie
Honorable Mention
Ayden Boursaw, Fr., Clatskanie
Josh Ellis, So., Rainier
Corey Greenlaw, Jr., Willamina
Ryan Hoagland, Sr., Warrenton
Gavin Koceja, So., Taft
Isaiah Top, Sr., Clatskanie
Drue Tuck, Sr., Willamina
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