A6 THE DAILY ASTORIAN • FRIDAY, MARcH 1, 2019 Elk: Driving surveys provide less concrete data than elk pellet surveys continued from Page A1 methods to track elk herd numbers and movements: driving surveys, done at sunrise every other month throughout the year on public roads around the park’s borders, and elk fecal pellet surveys, done on foot in park property by staff and vol- unteers willing to poke at poop and bushwhack through dense forest. The driving surveys provide far less concrete data than the elk pel- let surveys, but they are a low-ef- fort way to gather a little more information. Park staff can say with confidence where they have seen — at least from the road — a lot of elk over the years, where they have seen only a few and where both sightings and abun- dance seem to be changing. The national park’s tracking work is, in part, an effort to untan- gle anecdotal information and pin it to data. Because, as Cole said, “Everyone’s memory is faulty.” The journals of the explorers Meriwether Lewis and William Clark provide a glimpse at what elk abundance around the mod- ern-day national park looked like before European settlement. But since then, Warrenton has under- gone rapid large-scale develop- ment in areas that were historically forests and fields. Many of the conversations Cole hears now about elk in the area — and what constitutes normal herd sizes or travel patterns — seems to be set in a shorter, more recent time frame. “What people are remember- ing is from their own lifetimes and that’s not necessarily the best indi- cation of what ‘normal’ is,” she said. “There could be pretty wide fluctuations in both herd size and abundance and distribution and pattens of use across the landscape. Those are the questions we’re really just trying to get more infor- mation on.” Park staff are in the process of refining the most recent years of driving and pellet survey data, and are interested to see what trends emerge when this data is contextu- alized within 10 years of informa- tion. A plan to fit up to six elk in the park with radio collars this year could reveal even more detailed information about how the animals use the park. Colin Murphey/The Daily Astorian A herd of elk rests in a field near Warrenton. For now, Cole and Bird will keep driving. ‘Reasonably predictable’ Clatsop County’s herds are folded into a large group known as the Saddle Mountain unit. The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife manages many of the populations in the unit for hunting, keeping an eye on the ratio of bulls to cows and calves to cows. Though biologists use helicop- ters — and have experimented with drones — to survey herds in some parts of the unit, driving is really the only way to survey the Clatsop Plains elk. These herds inhabit a mix of forested, agricul- tural and increasingly developed and urban lands crossed with pub- lic roads and divided by a busy highway. “Most herds don’t freak out if you fly over them, but if they do, they run through fences or essen- tially stampede,” said Herman Bie- derbeck, district wildlife biologist. “And that’s the last thing we want to do in that area.” Like the national park’s driv- ing survey crews, state trackers are limited by what they can see from the road and in open areas. Then, of course, there is what they hear from people who live in Gearhart and Warrenton who deal with the Clatsop Plains elk regularly. “We get reports of the size of the Gearhart elk herd and some people who don’t like the elk all that much have a tendency to give inflated numbers,” Biederbeck said. He often relies on meticulous observers, like former biology teacher and nature photographer Neal Maine, to ground-truth the claims. While there is pressure on local city leaders to address the elk herds, it does not affect Maine. After 30 years of teaching biology, he’s more interested in looking at all the variables and letting people decide for themselves. For years, he’s kept an eye on the Gearhart elk and his efforts to track them fall somewhere in the middle between official and unof- ficial. He knows the herds’ usual routes, and believes the commu- nity could find ways to better pre- dict when elk will pop up at places like the golf course and use this knowledge to plan ahead. “They have patterns — they break the pattern all the time — but it’s reasonably predictable,” he said. Warrenton and Gearhart are working with Oregon Solutions, a group based out of Portland State University’s National Pol- icy Consensus Center, on how to best address the Clatsop Plains elk herds. Leaders are hoping for an official project designation for the work from Gov. Kate Brown. Gearhart Mayor Matt Brown has indicated one of his primary concerns is public safety. To Maine, that’s something concrete that could be defined and addressed in a variety of ways right now — beyond the weathered temporary signs tacked to notice boards and posts around the dunes in Gear- hart that warn people to stay away from elk during the rutting season or when calves are present. The Clatsop County Elk sight- ings! Facebook group Weil started in 2014 boasts more than 500 members, a number that has sky- rocketed suddenly several times over the years. The spikes appear to coincide with public discussions or media reports about local elk herds, Weil says. Sometimes this fascination with elk leads to problems. Over the years, Maine has seen people sic their dogs on elk, or try to get self- ies with them. But elk are responding to spe- cific things in their environment, solving problems, going to where there’s food and reacting when they feel threatened, Maine said. After years of observing both human and elk behavior, he believes the ones most able to change things in this equation are the humans. “We can’t fix them,” he said of the elk. “But we can adjust.” Style & Service with North America’s #1 Choice! 20 % off Select Signature Series