OPINION 6A THE DAILY ASTORIAN • THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2015 The plot to change Catholicism Founded in 1873 STEPHEN A. FORRESTER, Editor & Publisher LAURA SELLERS, Managing Editor BETTY SMITH, Advertising Manager CARL EARL, Systems Manager JOHN D. BRUIJN, Production Manager DEBRA BLOOM, Business Manager HEATHER RAMSDELL, Circulation Manager Need for workforce housing is palpable T he Astoria-born historian Dorothy Johansen was fond of saying: “History is made up of two things – continuity and change.” These days, there seems to be more change than continuity. When one revisits some cities and towns, they seem to have changed beyond recognition. This week’s issue of Willamette Week carries a compelling confessional ti- tled “Portland, I Love You, but You’re Forcing Me Out.” The writer, who is an artist named Carye Bye, tells of being priced out of 6an Francisco, ¿nding a golden moment in Portland that ended when her rent was jacked up. So she’s off to San Antonio. If you lived in Portland two decades prior to Bye, you might say that era seemed like a golden period, when the city boasted a large middle class. The crush of rising home prices and rent hikes on the West Coast makes one wonder how ordinary people can afford to live in San Francisco or Seattle, for instance. Bye’s most pungent com- ment on the place she is leaving is: “Today Portland feels like a theme park version of itself.” Astoria lately has become a receiver of former Portlanders, Californians and Seattlites. Our home prices and rentals have been a magnet. At the same time, feverish bidding on homes is a new thing in this market. And vacant rentals are more scarce. At a recent Astoria City Council meeting, the rental landlord Sean Fitzpatrick said that the town’s effective vacancy rate is zero. Articles in Wednesday’s and today’s edition report on that topic. Housing de¿nes what can happen in a city or town. The need for more Astoria work- force housing is palpable. Students whose families move are a reality Why not plan and coordinate for that? A t about this point in every recent year, Oregon gets to have a good old-fashioned Àagel- lation about high school gradua- tion rates that hover near the bot- tom of national rankings. It was statewide news this week when 2014 statistics showed Oregon 47th in the U.S. — up from 50th a year before, better only than 51st place Washington, D.C. Oregon’s improvement mostly came from rede¿ning graduates to include “students with special needs who earned modi¿ed diplo- mas, and students who delayed receiving a diploma in order to pursue low-cost college cred- its,” according to OPB’s report. Putting an implausible gloss on the news, a state education of¿- cial expressed pride in how well each and every student is being prepared for life. Washington state’s graduation rate also is less than stellar, com- ing in 38th in this week’s news. Considering we in the Paci¿c Northwest — like residents of the mythical village of Lake Wobegon — consider all our children to be above average, it’s a blow to self-esteem and sense of econom- ic destiny to be told more than a quarter of Oregon’s young people aren’t successfully ¿nishing the basic hurdle of high school. This is a matter of serious concern and deserves plenty of attention. But there is too much focus on individual schools and not nearly enough on state and national failings. Astoria Principal Lynn Jackson makes an entirely valid point about how graduation sta- tistics can be warped from one year to the next by some families’ unsettled lives. Students who land in Astoria, attend school for a few weeks, and then just as swiftly depart, make an oversized impact on graduation rates. Countywide, two-thirds to three-quarters of each year’s class does success- fully complete high school. They are very likely to have also ben- e¿ted from stable home lives, an advantage that is entirely alien to students whose families are con- stantly on the move. Instead of congratulating or castigating ourselves for a few percentage points change in grad- uation success or failure, society and state agencies ought to be creating better ways to maintain a rigorous focus on individual stu- dents, strategies that span across district boundaries and state lines. In our interconnected nation, educators must develop much better ways to mitigate the dam- age to children when parents move around. Though it will be controversial among those who favor local control over all oth- er considerations, keeping kids from falling through the cracks deserves strong national and re- gional coordination. There should be individual education-success plans that stick with students, even when their families move from California to Oregon to Washington, and back again. There must be resources and an interstate management structure to make these plans effective. Yes, let’s hold school districts accountable. But the real issue is national responsibility for mento- ring students in a mobile society, in which economic uncertainties guarantee many families will have to uproot children time after time. We need to base education policies on the belief that every citizen has a stake in the success of every student, not just the ones that happen to be in our district at any given moment. By ROSS DOUTHAT New York Times News Service T he Vatican always seems to have the secrets and intrigues of a Renaissance court — which, in a way, is what it still remains. The ostentatious humility of Pope Francis, his scoldings of high-ranking prelates, have changed this not at all; if anything, the pon- tiff’s ambitions have encouraged plotters and counterplotters to work with greater vigor. And right now the chief plotter is the pope himself. Francis’ pur- pose is simple: He favors the proposal, put forward by the church’s liberal cardinals, that Ross would allow Douthat divorced and re- married Catho- lics to receive communion without hav- ing their ¿rst marriage declared null. Thanks to the pope’s tacit support, this proposal became a central contro- versy in last year’s synod on the fam- ily and the larger follow-up, ongoing in Rome right now. But if his purpose is clear, his path is decidedly murky. Procedurally, the pope’s powers are near-absolute: If Francis decided tomorrow to endorse communion for the remarried, there is no Catholic Supreme Court that could strike his ruling down. At the same time, though, the pope is supposed to have no power to change Catholic doctrine. This rule has no of¿cial enforcement mecha- nism (the Holy Spirit is supposed to be the crucial check and balance), but custom, modesty, fear of God and fear of schism all restrain popes who might ¿nd a doctrinal rewrite tempting. And a change of doctrine is what conservative Catholics, quite reason- ably, believe that the communion pro- posal favored by Francis essentially implies. There’s probably a fascinating secular political science tome to be written on how the combination of absolute and absolutely-limited pow- er shapes the papal of¿ce. In such a book, Francis’ recent maneuvers would deserve a chapter, because he’s clearly looking for a mechanism that would let him exercise his powers without undercutting his authority. The key to this search has been the synods, which have no of¿cial Andrew Medichini/AP Photo Pope Francis greets faithful as he arrives for his weekly general audi- ence in St. Peter’s Square, at the Vatican, Wednesday. doctrinal role but which can project “doctors of the law,” its modern legal- an image of ecclesiastical consensus. ists and Pharisees — a not-even-thin- So a strong synodal statement endors- ly-veiled signal of his views. ing communion for the remarried as a (Though of course, in the New merely “pastoral” change, not a doc- Testament the Pharisees allowed di- trinal alteration, would make Francis’ vorce; it was Jesus who rejected it.) task far easier. And yet his plan is not necessar- Unfortunately, such a statement ily succeeding. There reportedly still has proved dif¿cult to extract — be- isn’t anything like a majority for the cause the ranks of Catholic bishops proposal within the synod, which is include so many Bene- probably why the orga- dict XVI and John Paul nizers hedged their bets The II-appointed conserva- for a while about wheth- tives, and also because er there would even be a chief the “pastoral” argument ¿nal document. And the is basically just rubbish. conservatives — Afri- plotter The church’s teach- can, Polish, American, ing that marriage is in- Australian — have been is the dissoluble has already less surprised than last pope fall, and quicker to draw been pushed close to the lines and try to breaking point by this himself. public box the pontiff in with pope’s new expedited an- private appeals. nulment process; going The entire situation abounds all the way to communion without with ironies. Aging progressives are annulment would just break it. So to overcome resistance from seizing a moment they thought had bishops who grasp this obvious point, slipped away, trying to outmaneuver ¿rst last year’s synod and now this younger conservatives who recent- one have been, to borrow from the ly thought they owned the Catholic Vatican journalist Edward Pentin’s re- future. The African bishops are de- cent investigative book, “rigged” by fending the faith of the European past the papal-appointed organizers in fa- against Germans and Italians weary of their own patrimony. A Jesuit pope vor of the pope’s preferred outcome. The documents guiding the synod is effectively at war with his own have been written with that goal in Congregation for the Doctrine of the mind. The pope has made appoint- Faith, the erstwhile Inquisition — a ments to the synod’s ranks with that situation that would make 16th cen- goal in mind, not hesitating to add tury heads spin. For a Catholic journalist, for any even aged cardinals tainted by the sex abuse scandal if they are allied to the journalist, it’s a fascinating story, cause of change. The Vatican press and speaking strictly as a journalist, I of¿ce has ¿ltered the synod’s closed- have no idea how it will end. Speaking as a Catholic, I expect door (per the pope’s directive) debates to the media with that goal in mind. the plot to ultimately fail; where the The churchmen charged with writing pope and the historic faith seem to be the ¿nal synod report have been select- in tension, my bet is on the faith. But for an institution that mea- ed with that goal in mind. And Fran- cis himself, in his daily homilies, has sures its life span in millennia, “ulti- consistently criticized Catholicism’s mately” can take a long time to arrive. Are you sure you want the job? By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN New York Times News Service H Welcome to the future of warfare: superpowers versus superempowered angry men aving watched all the de- bates and seen all these people running for president, I of cybercriminals and cy- can’t suppress the thought: Why berterrorists. They’re all a would anyone want this job now? byproduct of a profound Do you people realize what’s go- ing on out there? Barack Obama’s hair hasn’t gone early gray for nothing. I mean, Air Force One is great and all, but it now comes with Afghanistan, ISIS and the Republican Freedom Caucus — not to mention a lot of people, places and things all coming unstuck at once. Consider the scariest news article this year. On Friday, The Washing- ton Post reported that “the Justice Department has charged a hacker in Malaysia with stealing the person- al data of U.S. service members and passing it to the Islamic State terrorist group, which urged supporters online to attack them.” The article explained that in June Ardit Ferizi, the leader of a group of ethnic Albanian hackers from Kosovo who call themselves Kosova Hackers Security, “hacked into a server used by a U.S. online re- tail company” and “obtained data on about 100,000 people.” Ferizi, it said, “is accused of pass- ing the data to Islamic State member Junaid Hussain, a British citizen who in August posted links on Twitter to the names, email addresses, pass- words, locations and phone numbers of 1,351 U.S. military and other gov- ernment personnel. He included a warning that Islamic State ‘soldiers ... will strike at your necks in your own lands!’” FBI agents tracked Ferizi “to a computer with an Internet address in Malaysia,” where he was arrested. Meanwhile, Hussain was killed by a U.S. drone in Syria. Wow: An Albanian hacker in Ma- laysia collaborating with an ISIS ji- hadi on Twitter to intimidate U.S sol- diers online — before we killed the jihadi with a drone! Welcome to the future of warfare: superpowers versus superempow- ered angry men — and a tag-team ing the lid off nation-states in the Middle East and Af- rica, unleashing sectarian technology-driven inÀec- conÀicts that no dictator tion point that will greet can suppress. Bad guys the next president and will are getting superempow- make the current debates ered and “mutually assured destruction” to ISIS is not look laughably obsolete in a deterrent but an invita- four years. tion to heaven. Robots are I was born into the Cold milking cows and IBM’s War era. It was a danger- Thomas L. Watson computer can beat ous time with two nucle- Friedman you at “Jeopardy!” and ar-armed superpowers each holding a gun to the other’s head, and your doctor at radiology, so every the doctrine of “mutually assured decent job requires more technical destruction” kept both in check. But and social skills — and continuous we now know that the dictators that learning. In the West, a smaller num- both America and Russia propped up ber of young people, with billions in in the Middle East and Africa sup- college tuition debts, will have to pay the Medicare and Social Security for pressed volcanic sectarian conÀicts. The ¿rst decades of the post-Cold the baby boomers now retiring, who War era were also a time of relative will be living longer. “Suddenly,” argues Dobbs, “the stability. Dictators in Eastern Europe and Latin America gave way to dem- number of people who don’t believe ocratically elected governments and they will be better off than their par- free markets. Boris Yeltsin of Russia ents goes from zero to 25 percent or never challenged NATO expansion, more.” When you are advancing, you buy and the Internet and global supply chains drove pro¿tability up and the the system; you don’t care who’s a cost of labor and goods down. Interest billionaire, because your life is im- rates were low, and although the in- proving. But when you stop advanc- come of men without college degrees ing, added Dobbs, you can “lose declined, it was masked by rising faith in the system — whether that be home prices, subprime mortgages, globalization, free trade, offshoring, easy credit, falling taxes and wom- immigration, traditional Republicans en joining the workforce, so many or traditional Democrats. Because in household incomes continued to rise. one way or another they can be per- “Up until the year 2000, over 95 ceived as not working for you.” And that is why Donald Trump percent of the next generation were better off than the previous genera- is resonating in America, Marine tion,” said Richard Dobbs, a director Le Pen in France, the ISIS caliph in of the McKinsey Global Institute. the Arab world, and Vladimir Putin Therefore, even though the rich were in Russia. They all promise to bring getting even richer than those down back the certainties and prosperity the income ladder “it did not lead to of the Cold War or post-Cold War political unrest because the middle eras — by sacking the traditional was moving ahead, too” and were elites who got us here and by build- ing walls against change and against sure to be richer than their parents. But, in the last decade, we entered the superempowered angry men. the post-post-Cold War era. The com- They are all false prophets, but the bination of technological, economic storm they promise to hold back is and climate pressures is literally blow- very real.