Image provided by: Crook County Historical Society/Bowman Museum; Prineville, OR
About Crook County journal. (Prineville, Or.) 189?-1921 | View Entire Issue (March 6, 1919)
MAIt'll II, 1010. I hie S CROOK COCNTT JOCRNAL HESS CONDI ARE ABLY ANALYZED JJOKTHWKSTERJi NATIONAL BANK MARKS REVIEW FORECAST IS CONSERVATIVE Wonderful Future Seen For Entire Northwest In Next Few Years By Portland Concern The sudden closing of the war. the turning from a war to a peace basis, naturally brought uncertainties to the whole business structure, we are. flooded with opinions of all kinds, I dealing with the reconstruction period and what will happen. Some are op timistic; a few are pessimistic; many state in positive terms what they, think the after-war period will bring. Among some of the large employer of labor we find a very pessimistic feeling, saveral freely predicting that we are doomed for labor troubles of great magnitude. One well known Portlandcr. who is a large employer of labor, thinks that two years at least will be necessary to adjust our labor difficulties: another equally well known and older man, who has been very successful in his own busi ness and who has studied conditions carefully, says that the labor prob lem will solve itself, as. In his opin ion, the law of supply and demand ul timately levels all things. From many apparently well In formed men, we gather the Idea that agricultural products will decline very rapidly; some equally well-informed men hold the opposite view, contending that prices will advance rather than decline, in many lead ing commodities. After a careful study of the situation as a whole, we venture the opinion that neither ex tremist is right. Undoubtedly, the general trend of prices will be down ward altho on some commodities they may be higher than they are now but that any sudden or disas trous decline in any line will be made is hardly likely. If any parallel ran be drawn between the great conflict from which we have just emerged and our own Civil War , the condi tions betweer the years of 1860 and 1870 might be indicative. Judging from seemingly reliable statistics, the commodities which re turned to pre-war levels before 1870 were metals, textiles, chemicals, lin seed oil, tallow, hides, leather, coal, cotton, tin, lead, copper, and wool. The comuoditlea which broke harply after peace was declared but maintained a higher than pre-war lev el np to 1870, were foodstuffs, such as cheese, butter, corn, oats, wheat, barley, flour, rice, sugar, beans, po tatoes, salt fish, fresh beef and pork, alt beef, lamb, veal, lard, dried fruits and nuts. The commodities which had prac tically a continuous rise and attained a higher level after than during the war. Included building materials gen erally, such as lime, brick, cement, and, in a somewhat less degree, lum ber. Conditions, however, were very ARTISANS TO ENTERTAIN An entertainment consisting of a vaudeville performance, followed by dancing,, will be given free to their friends by the members of the United Artisans on March 17. A special in vitation la extended to all returned soldiers 'and sailors. Program will start promptly at 8 o'clock In their lodge rooms over the " Prineville Creamery and meat market. Good music will be furnished and a good time Is assured. SUPREME DEPUTY HERE Metta M. Cahow, supreme deputy for the United Artisans is now in Prineville. She was sent for the pur pose of assisting the local order with their work. Mrs. Cahow will be here for about a month and will be very glad to meet anyone who. is interest ed .in the order and explain the bene fits of an insurance. CATTLE SHIPMENT SATURDAY Five cars of cattle were shippedjto F rtland over the Prineville Railroad E; . irday. Harold Baldwin one load, W. I. Dishman, one load, and Dickson & McDowell three loads. H. L. MAKER Thoroughly Overhauled Secondhand Cars For Sale MITCHELL. GOOD CONDITION FOR DODGE OVERLAND . FORD, FIVE PASSENGER 1 4-CYLINDER BUIC K; 1 4-CYLINDER OLDS MOBILE 40- H. P. TRUCK MAKER & INLAND GARAGE Cor. Second and B Sts. different at the close of the Civil .. . . k 1 1 n I Ai4 filHlM Watt devastated ana wo w tlon, whereas today no material wealth of this country has been de stroyed and we are' a creditor nation. As to the Pacific Northwest, the hopeful algns are prospective good crops for this year with an accumu lated wealth that has been created In the past three or tour years. With out g ling into details this can be best Illustrated by a few salient facta: Portlands bank clearings for 1918 averaged $110,000,000.00 tor each and every month, which exceeded the total vear's clearings of 1900 by 15. 000.000.00. The total deposits of the banks of Oregon on November 1, 1918, were $2S2.000,000.00, and on October SI. 1914. were 1164.000.- 000. 00. a gain of $118,000,000.00. The deposits of the banks, of Oregon, Washington and Idaho on November 1, 1918. were $720,000,000.00. and on November 1, 1914, were $3S6. 000,000.00 a total gain of $334,000, 000.00. Government expenditures have con tributed largely to the gains of the city banks, especially those of coast cities. Shipbuilding also is respon sible for a considerable share of this Increase, and to continue the payrolls of this Industry should have the thoueht of our leading men. Aside from these factors, the gains shown In the country as well as the city banks, give an idea of the ac cumulated wealth of this section, which is largely the earnings of the people, as the period covered has been without speculation. It to the Increased deposits is added the am ount Invested in Liberty Loans. War Savings Stamps and other invest ments, together with old debts liquid ated. a view of the prosperous con dition of this section generally Is ob tained that is most reassuring. The establishing of the Branch Federal Reserve Banks at Portland, Seattle and Spokane has been of great value to the Northwest. The availability of funds for legitimate needs can now be depended upon without recourse to far away insti tutions. A spirit of self-reliance has been engendered, which in itself is a most potent factor In the building of any bus'ness. city or Btate. It is t j be hoped that the different sections of the great Northwest will get the s.)irit ct working together in this new epoch that is dawning; our interests are identical as a whole. Together we produce almost all of the great raw materials the world needs; there is room"for millions of new people, for scores of new indus tries, for many "leading" cities. Let's Heave Together. The live stock Industry has assum ed large proportions in the Pacific Northwest as evidenced by the growth of the Portland Union Stock Yards. From C. C. Colt, president of the Union Meat Co., we have the follow ing -x "The Portland Union Stock Yards were established at their present lo cation in 1910. In the first year of their operations there were handled 89,733 cattle, 8,297 hogs, and 83,323 sheep. In 1918 there were handled 113,598 cattle, 6,041 calves, 229,244 hogs, 150,331 sheep, 2,483 horses and mules. The value of the live stock sold in Portland In 1918 was approxi mately $22,000,000.00. "The year 1918 has been one of un precedented prosperity in the live stock business in the United States. Live stock receipts have increased at the great central markets about 20 per cent without apparently depleting the total supply of live stock still in the country, and this tremendous In crease has been marketed at prices unequaled in the history of the busi ness, averaging about 25 per cent, higher than the already high prices of 1917. The average prices of the 12 central markets of the United States show: In 1917 In 1918 Cattle 88.66percwt $10.81 per cwt Hogs 12.89 per cwt 17.12 per cwt Sheep and Lambs 12.79 per cwt 15.55 per cwt "It is reasonable to suppose the de mand for meat and meat food prod ucts overseas will continue for con siderable time at least, and It will likely tax the demand of the industry for months to come and will be limit ed only by the ability to transport the tremendous tonnage required. It must be borne in minds, however, that values at all times of live stock are on exceptionally high levels and altho we have become accustomed to high prices during tbe years just clos ed, we believe the conservative live stock dealers will prepare for a de cline in values that must eventually take place. The decline will no doubt be compensated by lower cost of feed and handling. "We see no reason to believe that there is anything alarming in the fut- JOHN CORNETT $450 $5)00 $325 $340 $200 CORNETT PHONE BLACK 051 PRINEVILLE, ORE. ure of the Industry and that a large anil rnlnr rinniAiift for llv atrnk products will not continue. It Is to transporting In refrigerated ships from the Pacific Coast to the Atlantic seaboard and Europe will be provid ed. If this ran be accomplished It will 1 m I si f a I w nnaa Itiia ii n tlr Ataa of Europe to the packers of the Pacif ic Coast on a basis where they ran successfully compete with the packers of the middle west In export business and every reasonable means should be fostered to bring this very desir able condition about. From one high in authority on live stork, we gather the following: ". . . the great Increase In- present prices of rattle aa compared with pre-war prices applies mainly to beef or fat rattle. Present pricea on this class of stock show an increase of about 125 per cent, while prices on what are tnrmn,! t tr ritttla mmm hulfnra and yearlings, are scarcely more than 15 per rent, nigner tnan two years ago. It is my belief that the price of beef cattle will remain firm until the need of our. Government and our Allies has been satisfied; and, from all Indications, some time will elapse before thin ran he hrmivht ahnut . . Ten years ago it was generally custo mary to tin inn ror Deer only tne ncavy aged steers of three and tour years. Now the custom Is to feed cukes, yearlings and two-year-olds, where the food Is substantial enough to make beef. The Northwest has an abundance of winter feed and fall ranges were never better. From all reports live stock is in excellent con dition." Regarding sheep, he says: "In the opinion of those best Informed the present prevailing price Is not far above the production cost at this time It is true that the mutton mar. ket has neither the strength nor the permanence of the beef or hog mar ket for the reason that the Govern ment has not been as heavy a buyer of mutton as It hasabeen of beef and pork. Lamb feeders who purchased thetr feeding stock after the break in the market, especially those who pur chased 1918 February and early March Iambs, schould receive very satisfactory returns for their feeding operations and show a substantial profit " "On account of the high prevail ing prices, los of live stock repre sents a much more serious problem than formerly as Iobs of a few head of cattle runs into big money. I, therefore urge upon bankers of the stock sections that they use their ln- nuence witn came men to Jrln their local Cattle Protective Associations and register their brands with the proper authorities. Brand Inspectors, maintained by these associations at the principal markets, apprehend ex tras and stolen cattle d tlrlnr A vonr'a time amounting Into the hundreds ot tnousands or dollars which would otherwise be lost to cattle growers. The name of the nrenniTntinn i ,1.1. state is the Oregon Cattle and Horse naisers Association, with headquar ters at Baker, Oregon. In May. 1918. the Government took over the 1 9 1 8 wool clin. also t h 1 o 1 1 wool unsold at that time, the prices being those of Julv an 1 a 17 , ,h Atlantic seaboard on the scoured bas is. These prices did not differ great ly from the current prices at that time. The Government reserved th right to take such of this wool as was needed ror military purposes, the balance to be alocated to manu facturers for civllia n nurnnana Whan such alocation is made, the Govern ment issue price Is 7 per cent, higher than the price paid to the grower, this addition to cover warehouse charges and Government overhead. The Brit ain Government controls the wool not only of Great Britain, but also of Australia and New Zealand tlmir i. sue prices being from 30 per cent, to v per cent, lower than the United States issue price or 23 per cent, to 33 per cent less than the prices paid to our growers. Stocks held by the Government on December 18 were 325,000,000 l!s. Stocks in the hands of manufacturers September 30, 1918, were 100.000, 000 pounds, making a total of 425, 000,000 pounds at the beginning of this year. The coming clip, including the pulled wool, will be approximate ly 300,000,000 pounds, making a to tal domestic supply available for the next 18 months of 725,000.000 lbs. From one of the best known auth orities locally, whose firm handles perhaps more wool than any other single Institution in this country,' we have the following: "When it is re membered that stocks of clothing are greatly depleted and that at all times there must be a surplus on hand in order that manufacturers may have choice of wools for proper blending it is readily seen that foreign wools will be necessary to take care of our needs. Four countries of the world only produce more than they consume Australia, New Zealand and Brit ish South Africa and South America, and to them we must look for ad ditional wool needed. Great Britain controls Australia and New Zealand and, e.ven if sufficient shipping is available, it is doubtful if the British Government will release wools to manufacturers in this country at the same price they make to their own trade. Australia and the United States will show small gains in sheep in the past year, but the world's fig ures show a heavy reduction. "Argentine has had her supply de creased nearly 40 per cent, by drouth losses. Taking Into consideration the depleted stocks in the United States reduction in number of world sheep cost and difficulty of importing wool and increased cost of nrnHnotinn does not seem possible that prices will urop 10 anywnere near pre-war levels However, I believe it reasonable to expect a drop of from 10 per cent, to 25 per cent., depending on grades, from prices now paid by the govern ment to the growers." From the editor nf a molt trade paper we have the following iuc Buipuienis 01 wneat and flour for the first Rlr mnnihi nt i..t .. j . .a,. ) 1..CXI totaled 11,750,000 bushels. The crop of last year totaled 11,760,000 bush els. The crop qf Oregon, Washington aim mano amounted to about 50, 000,000 bushels; with 6,000,000 bushels used for home conmimntinn and 3,000,000 bushels used for wii.ter feeding, (Ives a total of 11,000.000 bushels to be disposed of and leaves fully 29.000,000 bushels more to ac count on the crop ot 1917 and 1918. "Many ot the trade are figuring how the balance will be disposed ot. It the Government should come Into the market tor'larga shipments of flour from February to May, there will be wheat carried over. "The acreage sown to tall wheat In Oregon, Washington and Idaho la 2.324.960 acres. In 1917, there was 1,334.000 acres. The outlook is very favorable. There has been no freez ing weather up to date and reports from every section of Oregon, Wash ington ami Idaho are optimistic. The spring acreage ot 1918 was 2,740,000 acres, and, I believe, thla will be ex ceeded this year aa the farmers have a guarantee ot $2 20 pr bushel for wheat ( Portland, Puget Sound and Astoria) from the Government and aa other cereals are not guaranteed In price, this will no doubt Increase the acreage ot wheat, making It larg er than ever seeded In this territory." From the manager of one of th-i largest milling concerns In the North west we have the following: "The conditions throughout the Pacific Northwest are not at all satisfactory to millers or consumers, ltecently all milling restrictions were removed by the food administration, but the pur chasers of flour for European ship ment rr- still controlled by our Gov ernment, and on account of the ficti tious price for the 1918 and 1919 crops delivered at Pacific Coast ter minals, millers In this section are un able to compete with middle, western and eastern millers who have access to A"-'e Coast ports and the result so far has been that Pnc'f'c Coast wit lers lu.ve not been favored wltn thoir Just proportion of export flour orders. "It must be remembered that In all the territories ot the Rocky Moun tain rbout 80 per cent, of the wheat flour milled passes Into local con sumption and 20 per rent, is exported, while the country west of the Hocky Mountains la so sparrcly settli'd com paratively speaking that tho condi tions are reversed' and only 20 per cent, is consumed locally. "Oregon, Washington and Northern Idaho have a milling rapacity of ap proximately 15.000.000 barrels of flour yearly, being the equivalent of about 65.000.000 bushels of wheat. This is more than Is harvested locally. Hence It is apparent that if the mills in these three states should operate steadily, there would be no wheat for exportation from Portland, Astoria or I'uget Sound ports. "The population of the territory referred to above is about 2.500,000 Estimating a flour consumption of one and one-quarter barrels annually per capita, about 2.000.000 barrels are required for home use. leaving, say. 12.000,000 barrels for export, providing the mills operate constant ly. Unless the Government resumes the purchase of export flour In the very near future, all the terminal .thills will have to cease operation, and mill feed, of which there Is not to exceed a week's supply on hand, will be entirely exhausted." From another large milling concern we have: "Exports of flour by wat er. Including 759.028 barrels to Eu rope, were 817,900 barrels as against 284,771 barrels for the correspond ing period of the previous year. Sup plies of Oregon oats and barley are very small, local requirements are be ing filled with eastern oats and Cali fornia barley." Regarding grain bags, they say: "Purchases to date. In anticipation of the coming season, by Importers and the big manufacturers, are much smaller than usual owing to the com paratively high price and uncertain conditions. Farmers show very llt the disposition to buy and as nmport ers will not increase their storks pending sales, It is desirable, in ordor to avoid a shortage later on, that far mers should buy a portion of ther re quirements early. This would enable importers to replace with further shipments from Calcutta and thus In sure an adequate supply at harvest time." With the uncertainties existing to day In the lumber situation, It would be difficult to obtain any positive op inions as to the near future of this industry. One of the most successful men in this line gave as his opinion that 1919 would be a period If un certainty fir the lumbermen. He based this on the fact that building would progress slowly until condi tions had stabilized both labor and the price of other building material. One factor that may help out the situation Is the drop of ocean freight rates. Rates have declined consider ably on Oriental freights within the past few weeks and no doubt there will be still further decline. Another man who manages perhaps one of the largest lumber businesses in Oregon has this to say: "The ar mistice came at a time when practic ally all the larger mills In the North west were catering to Government re quirements to the extent of probably an average of 70 per cent, of their output. The class of commercial business which the fir manufacturers ordinarily depend on had been lost sight of. The end of the war came so suddenly and at a time of the year when climatic and seasonal conditions were . not conducive to the use of building materials and we were faced with the problem "of starting to get business at a time when in ordinary years we always felt there was no business. The result has been, I think, that practically none of the mills had anything to-run on. A few orders are drifting In to the larger mills every day. This amount, how ever, will not mean anything if all the mills should start up. There may be a question as to the amount of lum ber needed abroad, but there Is no question but that the amount will be sufficient to have some influence on our market. This demand will not come until the European and other foreign countries have bad time to take acoount of their finances and un til they feel that prices are fairly sta ble. Also cargo rates will have to be somewhat lowered and space easier to get than it is now. , "The buyers cannot wait forever, however, and I think that some time within the next few months foreign buying will be quite in evidence. The same idea, I think, can apply to the railroads. They are finding out now what the market Is and will undoubt edly buy a reasonable amount of lum ber this year. 80. taking it anyway you look at It. we are going to have quite a while before we have demand enough, to make us at all prosperous or Independent. "I do not see why the call for lum ber for the varlgus purposes It Is needed for will not begin to rmne from all the buying territory at about the same time, ss the same, or nearly the same, fact rs are going to govern and. beciose rf th's. I do not sea how we are 1,. nng 111 .,., '" '"'' good lunger market but doubt If we g VT, P"Hk ' ,hef.' 7. ud I shn ' H verv well satisfied If re are abl in si. - have a satis- an factory market at tlmt time, From one i f our ' -st and most successful brokers wi h ve the follow. Ing: "At the pres"t "me domestic business Is more r 1 :i quiet, the dealers throughtt the r 'ti'tryjintlrl- patlng a lower pr " ' ) ending ot the wur. !' rv ' -tint of the It Is, however, the opinion of thrr- nost Interested 1 g Wll,i t0 congratulate her on that there will be a l.eavy demand for tne g.,ondld work she has accomplish domenttc purposes na n'loti ns buyers wi.iin wm, us fuel they ran go the l with safety Stocks throughout th" country are depleted aa a general rule. Export business tins been linivlnc f ilrly well to China with a prospect of nu In- creasing demand. The srme applies to Australia and the west toast of noum Amnnra. i nere are very large Inquiries In the market at the preaeut time for.th United Kingdom rtl we expect to see a heavy mover' ' f railway ties and timbers In t!;..: di rect Ion.'' From one of the best informed n In the Wont, we have the following: "With natural conditions so extrcmu Iv favorable to successful dairying, the Northwestern States are bound to increase thoir output of butter, cheese and rnndensd milk. Past experience has amply proven the solid prosperity of every community where dairying j predominates and there is every reas on 10 ievi mat tne next live years will bring the producer greater pros perity than tho last five years have." "In the near future there should be a very heavy export trade especially of condensed milk. A ton of raw i milk produces roughly 100 pounds of butter or 200 pounds of cheese, or 1. 000 pounds of standard condensed milk. Considering the transporta tion problem, no other food product Would give such Instantaneous and safe relief from hunger. A can or two of condensed milk per day per person, added to present rations would keep these starving people go ing until regular provisions could be undertaken. "The war will have accustomed European people to the use of canned milk and though our export of this commodity before the war amounted tj very little, It seems reasonable that Europe will need a lot of this and other dairy products for several years i to come. , j "Oregon and Washington manu facture over $5,000,000.00 worth of 1 dairy products monthly. It Is to be I regretted that Government statistics I Just Issued show a reduction of 5.000 1 head of cows In Oregon and 24,000 In j Washington." From the same source as quoted above, we have the following: "There should be a good demand from abroad j for at least two years In eggs and poultry. Russia was the greatest poul try and egg producing country .of Eu rope before the war. It seems likely that there Is less than half the normal quantity of poultry In Europe now. It Is my opinion that lower prices will prevail In dairy and poultry products but that price levels will never reach thoseof 1914 and 1915. Even if there were no export trade In sight this year, our own population would consume all of our production with values around 25 per cent below 1918 prices." We Beg to Announce THAT THE Central Oregon Title & Loan Company Has taken over the Abstract and Insurance a Business of the Crook County Abstract Company And will be found, at the former location of the Crook County Abstract Company on Court (Third) Street Dependable "Red Crown" is straight-distilled, , all-refinery gasoline. Look for the Red Crown sign before you fill. ' STANDARD OIL COMPANY (CilUornu) C. R. MARTIN, Specliil 9at HIGH SCHOOL NEWH NOTKH jWj N.,r,,, Kvlew class has com- .,,,,, lhe rBVlw f Om.graiihy and Is K Jng mi Grammar, u M,u ,,,, h fmuhed tha , Uw , m)W ,,,, B( (( ,.1(iW (J T.h," bv strayor ,llt Norswortby. r,Mi ,u No irmal Agriculture Is oln to visit Prineville Flour Mills J, ,0 uk ,m ,nB pro,.s of kl, flimr Mr, oillott Is Hie In- t motor ot this class. Harold (Dor) Davis 1ms returned to school after suveral days' absence. "Doc" bus annexed tin,othor pair of "Eyes." Mrs. Delplila Tuvlor, our Language i,, ..,,. in Rninnlav fur Kuifena. -,h..r nmke her hnme. C. C. Mr. E. E. Htreeter has been seloeteri to fill the position ot advisor by the Sophomore class. Lynn Cram delivered a splendid R,nlnr inlW hut Friday morning, The 1 Buhj,.t. "Dr. Alex Carrol And Ills Work (ll France," was most Interest- ,nU Instructive. He told Of r Carrol's wonderful discoveries and accomplishments during the recent war. We are hoping for more like It next Friday. Mr. Vernon C. Shlppee of Ashton, III n ils, a graduate of Cornell College, has been elected to fill the position left vacant by the resignation ot Mrs. Taylor. Mr. Evans received a tl gram Wednesday morning from Mr. Shlppee stating that he would reach Prineville about Monday. Sarah llamar, a member of the Sen ior dims, is leaving for her home in Philomath, Oregon. We will miss her from our school. Lorna Mullen, formerly attending a high school In Heat tie, entered our school Monday, enrolling lu tho Jun ior rlass. Tho Freshman Mternry Society has changed lis name from Skukelecks to Adelphlnns. The flag was placed at half must on Wednesday out (f respect fur tho late Governor Wlthycoinhe, who pass ed away on Tuesduy evening. The Junior class has begun the pre liminary arrangements for the pro duction of tho annual Junior p!uy, sometime during ComuieHet mettt Week. We are all glad to see Otis Mi ivln non back aguln after an absence of two weeks. Pete Augustine Is hack, resuming his studies after an absence ot two weeks, on account of elcknsq. Everybody Is glad to see all the chins pennants on the wall agulu. We hope they will remain with us longr this time. The basketball gardes winch will decide the championship ot the State will be played on the 14th and 15th of March a Eugene. The champions ot this district have not yet been de cided. The Crook County High trark team for the Inter-Scholastic Field day, which will be held at Madras on May 17, has ben organized. Harold Prose was elected captain and Roy Clark manager. w. s. a. Harney county Is not the only reg ion In Oregon wbero prospecting tor oil Is under way. In eastern Linn county consederahle Interest bus btx.n aroused over tho developmnt ot wll dfincd oil prospeets. Leases have boon taken on lands and a thorough Investigation ot the fluid Is being made to put down teat wells to a depth of at least 3,000 foot, Crane American. Agt., Redmond, Oregon !