PAGE A2, KEIZERTIMES, MARCH 10, 2017
11 days after an arrest on a slew of charges,
a Keizer drug dealer was back on the street
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Today in History
The fi rst discernible speech is transmitted over a telephone
system when inventor Alexander Graham Bell summons
his assistant in another room by saying, “Mr. Watson,
come here; I want you.” Bell had received a comprehensive
telephone patent just three days before.
— March 10, 1876
Food 4 Thought
“We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen
twice as much as we speak.”
— Epictetus, philospher,
50-135 AD
The Month Ahead
Through Saturday, April 29
Batman! at the Keizer Heritage Museum, from the
private collection of David Sherman. Free admission.
Museum hours are 2-4 p.m. Tuesdays and Thursdays, 10
a.m.-4 p.m. Saturdays. keizerheritage.org.
Friday, March 10
Poet and essayist Ross Gay to read at Oregon State
University in the Valley Library Rotunda at 7:30 p.m.
A question-and-answer session and book signing will
follow. Event is free and open to public.
Saturday, March 11
Oregon cat video festival from 4 p.m. to 10 p.m. Located
at the Oregon State Fair & Expo Center.
Willamette University Pow Wow, 4-10 p.m., Sparks
Athletic Center on the campus. Free admission.
Millstream Knitting Guild meets at Arrowhead Mobile
Park Community Center, 5422 Portland Road N.E. in
Salem,10 a.m. to noon. New members welcome, $24
membership per year. For more information, visit
millstreamknitting.wordpress.com.
Saturday, March 11 – Sunday, March 12
56th Brooks Breakfast to benefi t Marion County Fire
District No. 1 Volunteer Firefi ghters Foundation. 7 a.m.-
noon both days. All you can eat pancakes, ham, and eggs.
Adults, $6, children 6-12, $3, free for children 5 and
under. Station 5, 4960 Brooklake Rd. NE.
Sunday, March 12
Daylight saving time begins at 2 a.m. Move clocks one
hour forward, also, check all the smoke alarms in your
house.
Monday, March 13
American Red Cross blood drive, Keizer Civic Center,
9 a.m.-2 p.m. To schedule an appointment
call
1-800-RED-CROSS or at redcrossblood.org (use sponsor
code KeizerCommunity).
Keizer city council work session, 5:45 p.m. at the Keizer
Civic Center.
Tuesday, March 14
Free admission all day at Hallie Ford Museum of Art,
700 State Street. Hours are 10 a.m. to 5 p.m.
Mayor Cathy Clark delivers the State of the City speech
during the Keizer Chamber Luncheon at the Keizer Civic
Center. 11:30 a.m. RSVP at www.keizerchamber.com.
Lunch is $20, but the room will be open to the public.
Keizer Parks and Recreation Advisory Board meets at 6
p.m. at Keizer Civic Center.
Wednesday, March 15
Final day to complete the Keizer Parks Survey. Go to
keizer.org and click on the scrolling banner at the top of
the page.
Keizer Planning Commission meets at the Keizer Civic
Center, 6 p.m. On the agenda: A possible gas station at
Safeway.
Thursday, March 16
Comic Lewis Black performs at the Historic Elsinore
Theatre, 8 p.m. Tickets are $49.50. elsinoretheatre.com.
A computer
algorithm helped
make the call
By ERIC A. HOWALD
Of the Keizertimes
At the time he was released
a little before midnight on
Feb. 27, a computer had de-
cided Casey Miser was the
least likely of about 350 male
inmates at the Marion County
Correctional Facility to reof-
fend.
The computer got it wrong.
Less than eight hours later,
Miser, a 36-year-old Keizer
man, was back in handcuffs on
a slew of drug-related charges.
“You do not end up with a
specifi c one-for-one rotation
where one inmate takes an-
other inmate’s spot. It is more
complex than that,” said Lt.
Chris Baldridge of the Mar-
ion County Sheriff ’s Offi ce.
“However, we can state that
when capacity needs at the jail
required a release, Mr. Miser
was an inmate with the lowest
score (indicating he was the
least likely to re-offend) and
he was the inmate that had to
be released based on the jail
capacity management plan.”
On Feb. 16, Miser was ar-
rested after Keizer and Salem
police served search warrants
on his Keizer home and a
business where he worked on
Portland Road in Salem.
The searches resulted in the
seizure of 40 pounds of mari-
juana, 17 pounds of meth-
amphetamine, fi ve pounds of
cocaine, a quarter-pound of
heroin, 10,000 oxycodone
pills, $40,000 in cash, fi ve fi re-
arms and two sets of body ar-
mor. Miser was charged with
delivery of methamphetamine,
delivery of cocaine and deliv-
ery of heroin. His bail was set
at $1.5 million.
Eleven days later, the jail
became overcrowded with
new arrests and Miser’s risk as-
sessment score resulted in him
being put back on the streets
as the result of a forced release.
The next morning, Salem
police served another search
warrant on a home he owns
in Salem and found him in-
side with fi ve more pounds of
methamphetamine and illegal
marijuana grow.
This is how a two-time
drug offender was determined
to be a low enough risk to
warrant release:
Around 2005, the Oregon
Department of Corrections
and Oregon Criminal Justice
Commission (OCJC) ana-
lyzed re-arrest and re-convic-
Source: OJIN
A copy of the release agreement Casey Miser had to sign before leaving the Marion County Cor-
rectional Facility.
tion data of 55,000 offenders
from 2000 to 2005 for the
purpose of developing a tool
that allows jails and prisons to
assess the risk an arrestee poses
to the community if they are
released.
After coming up with an
algorithm that takes into ac-
count factors such as age, the
severity of the most recent
crime, the number of prior ar-
rests and incarcerations among
other factors (race is not one
of them), the analysis was ap-
plied to all 350,000 offenders
sentenced to probation from
1980 to the present.
While the results weren’t
perfect, according to an assess-
ment on the OCJC website,
the results were accurate about
70 percent of the time.
Currently, the risk assess-
ment tool – which can be
viewed and used by the pub-
lic at risktool.ocjc.state.or.us
– lists Miser at a 43 percent
chance for a new felony con-
viction, a 42 percent chance
for arrest for a new person
crime arrest, and a 74 per-
cent chance for a new prop-
erty crime arrest. Miser hadn’t
been arrested in the previous
fi ve years although he had
Tuesday, March 21
Free admission all day at Hallie Ford Museum of Art,
700 State Street. Hours are 10 a.m. to 5 p.m.
Thursday, March 23
Salem Grow & Show Garden Club, 7 p.m. at Center 50+,
2615 Portland Rd. N.E., Salem. Speaker will be a Master
Food preserver from the OSU Extension Service. Free.
Add your event by e-mailing news@keizertimes.com.
Marion County jail houses
inmates from throughout the
county, not just Salem-Keizer.
The jail also houses inmates
serving shorter sentences (a
year or less) as well as those
awaiting trial.
“When our jail neared its
budgeted capacity, Mr. Miser
was released so that we could
hold onto offenders that posed
a greater risk to public safety,”
Baldridge said.
For the most serious crimes,
such as murder, in which sus-
pects are not allowed to be
released, the risk assessment
tool isn’t used. Such crimes are
known as Measure 11 crimes,
the result of a statewide bal-
lot measure that set manda-
tory minimum sentences for
crimes like murder, rape, man-
slaughter, kidnapping and oth-
ers.
While the system is imper-
fect, Baldridge said it is the
best tool the Marion County
jail has for managing limited
space.
“We do not have unlim-
ited resources so we have de-
veloped a plan that makes the
best use of the resources that
we have available,” Baldridge
said.
Helping hands sought for civic center clean-up
The City of Keizer is looking for more
than 100 volunteers to pitch in on a clean-up
effort at Keizer Civic Center Saturday, March
18.
Volunteers are needed for trimming bushes
and grasses, removing and potting shrubs for
replanting, removing weeds, and dumping the
collected trimmings and leaves into a drop
box. The clean-up is scheduled from 9 a.m.
to noon.
Contact Mark Caillier at markcaillier@
claggettcwc.org or at 503-930-7481with
questions. Volunteers can show up the day of
the clean-up without registering in advance.
Volunteers with the following items are
asked to bring them if they can: wheelbarrows,
plastic trash cans, rakes, brooms, tarps (to drag
loads to the dumpster), pruners, shovels and
weed pullers.
Those interested in volunteering should
dress for the weather in long pants, sturdy
shoes/boots, gloves, hats and coat. Restrooms
will be available on-site and light refreshments
will be provided.
Rotary food drive launches
Rotary Club of Keizer,
in conjunction with Rotary
Clubs in the Salem area, is
holding its annual food drive
during the month of March.
Marion Polk Food Share is
coordinating the effort and
will distribute collections to
local food banks and feeding
sites.
Several Keizer Rotarians
have offered to host a food
drop site at their place of busi-
ness. Shelf-stable, unexpired
food can be donated at any of
these sites: Whitaker Middle
School, McNary High School,
Keizer Fire Hall, Keizer Vet-
erinary Clinic, Oregon State
Credit Union, Keizer Civic
Center, Home Fire Stove,
Edward Jones (at McNary
Estates), R. Bauer Insurance,
Loren’s Sanitation, Boucher
Jewelers, Boys & Girls Club,
First Tech Federal Credit
Union, and Keizer Chamber
of Commerce.
One in fi ve individuals
struggle to put food on the
table. Each month, approxi-
mately 14,000 children are
eating from emergency food
boxes in Marion and Polk
counties.
sudoku
Friday, March 17 – Sunday, March 19
Cherry Blossom Theatre Festival. Twenty performances,
six venues in downtown Salem. Hosted by Salem
Theatre Network. Performance schedule available at
salemtheatrenetwork.org/performanceline-up/. Tickets
available at pentacletheatre.org.
Monday, March 20
Keizer City Council meeting, 7 p.m., Keizer Civic Center.
been previously incarcerated.
While it is diffi cult to as-
certain which arrest leads to
one specifi c inmate getting
booted from a jail bed, the risk
scores of the male offenders
booked into the jail the same
day Miser was released pro-
vide some context. A 33-year-
old with a total of 16 arrests in
the past fi ve years, was arrested
and jailed for interfering with
an offi cer. His risk assessment
scores were all well above 90
percent in all categories. A
26-year-old whose risk assess-
ment scores were 100 percent
across the board based on 21
arrests in the last fi ve years, was
jailed for theft. A 33-year-old
arrested for burglary, scored
a 98 percent chance for re-
offending in a person crime.
Another man was jailed for il-
legal possession of hydrocodo-
ne and scored in the mid- to
high-90 percentile in all cat-
egories. Finally, a 30-year-old
was arrested for strangulation
and had an 87 percent chance
for re-offending with a person
crime according to the OCJC
risk tool. Several others also
scored higher than Miser in a
single category or all three.
It’s important to note the
looking
back in
the KT
5 YEARS AGO
Gun privacy bill is big
win for Rep. Thatcher
Rep. Kim Thatcher’s bill
restricting
disclosure
of
concealed handgun license
holder’s information now
awaits the governor’s signature
after passing both chambers of
the Oregon Legislature.
10 YEARS AGO
Police bag
“serial” thieves
The third time was a charm
for Keizer police, as a man
and woman called “serial
shoplifters” by authorities
were arrested at Keizer
Station. The two are accused
of stealing several GPS units
from the Target in Keizer and
reselling them in Eugene.
15 YEARS AGO
Towering tree’s
no tree at all
Enter digits
from 1-9 into
the blank
spaces. Every
row must
contain one
of each digit.
So must every
column, as
must every
3x3 square.
A construction crew dis-
guised a 71-foot cell tower
as a giant fi r tree on property
behind Dan’s Pawn Shop on
River Road.
20 YEARS AGO
Patterson named
top explorer
Aaron Patterson of Keiz-
er, a captain in the Keiz-
er Fire District Explorer
program,recently was named
Explorer of the Year.