Keizertimes. (Salem, Or.) 1979-current, February 19, 2016, Page A6, Image 6

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    PAGE A6, KEIZERTIMES, FEBRUARY 19, 2016
GROWTH,
continued from Page A1
comprehensive plan identifi ed
a land defi cit within Keizer
to meet projected future
employment and housing
needs.
“There is a defi cit,” Brown
said. “We don’t meet the needs
of land in the next 20 years.”
Keizer’s
population
is
projected to increase 32 percent
from the 2010 fi gure of 36,478,
meaning a 2032 population of
48,089. Under a high growth
scenario, the city will need
21.6 acres more of commercial
land and 41.8 acres more of
institutional land. The city has
a surplus of industrial land.
The growth forecast calls for
a total of 3,774 new jobs over
the next 20 years, a growth of
55 percent over current levels.
The fi ve target industries are
medical facilities, information
technology,
educational
services, professional services
and sporting events.
By 2033, Keizer will need
321.1 new acres of land, with
267.6 of those acres needed
for residential, 43.5 acres for
parks and recreation with the
remaining 10 acres for schools.
With the 28 additional acres
of land acquired for Keizer
Rapids Park, that lowers the
overall number to 293.1 acres
still needed. There is a need
for 4,513 new housing units
for future Keizer residents,
with half of that to be single-
family detached homes and 46
percent to be some form of
attached housing.
“The city is now faced
with the task of setting a
course and prioritizing the
tasks needed to create an
approach to responsibly plan
and accommodate projected
growth,” Brown said. “Ways to
address this defi cit need to be
identifi ed through measures
ranging from encouraging
more development within the
existing city, expanding the
Urban Growth Boundary, or
likely a combination of various
measures.”
Brown noted the Keizer
Compass project indicated
many Keizer residents want
to maintain a small-town feel
while accommodating growth.
“A primary task of any
approach would include an in-
depth cost/benefi t analysis with
each impact examined,” Brown
said. “We all have emotional
attachment, but we need good
objective criteria. We should
have extensive and vigorous
public outreach throughout the
entire process. No matter how
we approach this, we need to
have public engagement.”
Brown suggested four
possible general approaches:
amending Keizer’s portion of
the UGB to meet all of the
projected defi cit; do nothing
and determine all of Keizer’s
projected residential need will
be met elsewhere within the
shared UGB with Salem; meet
the projected need entirely
within the current city limits
without amending the UGB
and developing a hybrid
scenario which seeks to meet
some portion of the projected
need within city limits while
modestly amending the UGB.
Chuck Fisher noted the
shortfall in commercial and
institutional land, along with
the 27.8 acre surplus for
industrial land.
“Are there areas we could
rezone to commercial?” Fisher
asked.
Brown nodded his head.
“It is possible that would
be an option,” he said. “It’s
certainly
something
to
consider.”
Hersch Sangster noted the
school land shortfall.
“If we just use the scenario
we’re going north, aren’t we
going outside of Salem Keizer
School District boundaries?”
he asked.
Brown said that could
indeed mean dealing with
Gervais School District.
Amy Ryan noted she’s done
research on the boundary lines.
“I’m told they are fl exible
and are easily moved,” Ryan
said. “Gervais would be happy
to look at it when the time
comes.”
Mayor Cathy Clark and
Brown both noted infi ll lands
were looked at in the past.
“On infi ll, we spent a
tremendous amount of time on
it,” Clark said. “That was taken
into consideration.”
Brown said not much has
been eliminated as far as ways
to meet future needs.
“Anything is possible,” he
said. “Everything is on the table
at this point.”
City Manager Chris Eppley
compared cities to fi sh tanks.
“Fish tanks require a lot of
moving parts,” Eppley said. “If
one piece doesn’t work with
the other pieces, the fi sh die.
Cities are very similar. Pieces
have to work together. All
decisions have a ton of moving
parts and variables we have to
study.”
Sangster said Keizer is in a
bit of a bind in terms of future
growth.
“Keizer is stuck,” Sangster
KEIZERTIMES/Craig Murphy
Nate Brown (second from right) talks about growth issues
during a meeting Feb. 10 as (from left) Shannon Johnson, Sam
Litke and Shane Witham listen.
said. “We can’t go east, west,
south or too far north. To take
the line and suddenly move it
to the river or to I-5, I don’t see
all the groups we work with
to be agreeable to a smaller
portion. I can see a point where
Keizer just might have to stop.”
More mural meetings on tap
In case you missed the fi rst
couple of mural meetings, there
are still more opportunities.
Meetings are being held for
the public mural being done
later this year at Town & Coun-
try Lanes, 3500 River Road N.
The project is being led by Jill
Hagen.
The second mural meeting
was held Feb. 6, with 15 people
attending.
Future meetings are March
7, March 22 and April 9.
The March 7 meeting will
be in Claggett Room at Keizer
Civic Center, 930 Chemawa
Road NE, from 6 to 8 p.m.
Jessi Long will be talking about
color mixing.
The March 22 meeting
will be from 6 to 8 p.m. in the
Keizer Heritage Center. Wendy
Lusby will talk about sponge
painting.
The April 9 meeting will be
from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. in the
Keizer Heritage Center. It will
be facilitated by Nancy Erick-
sen-Ward, who will talk about
image development and grid
transfer.
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