Friday, December 31, 2021 CapitalPress.com 9 Survey: ‘If we’re concerned about the will of the people, it’s certainly the will of the people to keep the dams in place’ Continued from Page 1 “People are being told that their neighbors essen- tially support dam breaching, and I don’t think that’s the case,” he said. “It’s import- ant for the public to know it’s only a smaller minority that believes this would be good policy for the Pacific Northwest.” Miller hopes policy mak- ers such as Inslee and Mur- ray pay attention to the sur- vey’s findings. “We want to find the most productive ways of help- ing salmon without harming society,” he said. “If we’re concerned about the will of the people, it’s certainly the will of the people to keep the dams in place.” Miller believes the sur- vey results show residents understand the energy chal- lenges ahead, citing 100% clean energy objectives, ini- tiatives for electric cars and other forms of transpor- tation and the loss of fos- sil-fuel resources such as coal and natural gas genera- tion plants. “I think what people see there is that resources that are carbon-free and can pro- duce electricity 24-7 are going to be really import- ant in the region’s future,” he said. “I think people can do the math.” Efforts to breach the dams, especially Inslee’s and Murray’s proposed initiative, represent a “significant clear and present danger” to the future of the dams, and even- tually the entire hydropower system, Miller said. “A lot of the arguments that are made in favor of breaching the lower Snake River dams are often not based on complete informa- tion, or even (based on) inac- curate information,” he said. “Our concern is that those same questionable argu- ments will be applied to other dams if these dams go.” Northwest RiverPartners serves not-for-profit, com- munity-owned electric util- ities in Oregon, Washing- ton, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Nevada and Wyoming and represents partners that sup- port clean energy, low-car- bon transportation and agri- cultural jobs. Ports: Price of shipping exports from U.S. is skyrocketing Continued from Page 1 apples to Idaho potatoes — is feeling the pinch. Shipping containers that once sat on the docks for 3 to 8 days are now waiting a month or longer to be loaded onto vessels, depending on their destination. In some cases, carriers are foregoing Asia-bound exports altogether, opting instead to send empty con- tainers back to Asia, where they are loaded with high- er-priced merchandise such as clothing, footwear and kitchen appliances. Crit- ics of the practice describe it as a money grab, with the industry reporting record profits this year of more than $200 billion. The price of shipping exports from the U.S. is also skyrocketing. Jacob- son said general rates that once ran $400 to $500 per container are now as high as $2,000 to $2,500. While that added cost can be tacked onto the prices of most consumer goods, farmers are largely price-takers, meaning they cannot pass along higher costs. Peter Friedmann, exec- utive director of the Agri- culture Transportation Coalition, a trade group in Washington, D.C., that rep- resents U.S. agricultural exporters, said he has heard from at least one member — a hay grower in Washington — who did not bother cut- ting hay for the first time because he could not get his product through the ports. Delayed and canceled shipments hurt agricultural exporters in another way, too. Once international cus- tomers turn elsewhere for products, Friedmann said U.S. producers risk losing them forever. “If we can’t deliver it affordably and depend- ably, our foreign customers will go somewhere else,” he said. “The reality is, there is nothing we produce here in the U.S. agricultur- ally ... that can’t be sourced from somewhere else in the world.” Experts say the logjam at ports will likely persist well into 2022, though new leg- islation and infrastructure improvements may help to alleviate the problem. ‘Self-inflicted wounds’ Friedmann said there are several “self-inflicted wounds” that led to the cur- rent crisis. Most terminals along the West Coast, he said, were built to accommo- date smaller ships that car- Northwest Seaport Alliance All eight cranes work two ships at the Husky Terminal in Tacoma, Wash. Tom Bellerud Rep. Shelly Boshart Davis ried 7,000 containers at a time. Today’s largest ves- sels are almost a quar- ter-mile long and carry from 18,000 to more than 22,000 containers. “There’s no place to store this stuff when it gets off (the ship),” Friedmann said. That’s especially true in cities where the docks are surrounded by busy down- town areas. Friedmann said the U.S. also has some of the lowest allowable truck weights in the world, with California interstate highways capped at 80,000 pounds gross weight. Instead of hauling loads in one or two truck- loads, he said it takes two or three, contributing to the shortage of chassis and drivers. The American Trucking Associations estimated the driver shortage would hit a record high of more than 80,000 drivers by the end of the year. Although these prob- lems had been festering in the U.S. for decades, Fried- mann said, the coronavirus pandemic brought them to a head in 2020. COVID-19 caused shut- downs at ports and facto- ries in China, which limited the production and move- ment of products. Mean- while, more Americans were stuck at home and shopping online, amping up demand for imported con- sumer products. That created the per- fect recipe for delays. Last month, a record 111 con- tainer ships were anchored off the Southern California coast, waiting to dock and unload their cargo. “It’s complete confu- sion,” Friedmann said, Todd Fryhover Peter Friedmann adding that carrier ser- vice schedules have become “completely undependable.” In a recent survey, Agri- culture Transportation Coa- lition members reported losing 22% of their export sales due to supply chain problems. ‘Shipping fatigue’ At BOSSCO Trading, Jacobson, the international sales manager, and Shelly Boshart Davis, vice presi- dent of international sales, say they are left exhausted. “There’s this shipping fatigue that’s really start- ing to set in,” said Boshart Davis, who also serves as a Republican representative in the Oregon Legislature. “We pride ourselves on being flexible, but it feels like we’re putting out fires every day, every hour, all the time.” BOSSCO Trading mar- kets straw from about 40 grass seed farms around the Willamette Valley. Once the seed crop is harvested, BOSSCO’s crews arrive to rake and bale the leftover straw, which then goes to a hay press in Salem. The bales are loaded into shipping containers and sent to ports in Seattle, Tacoma and Port- land via truck and rail. Normally, BOSSCO Trading handles 2,200 con- tainers in a year. However, Jacobson said it is becoming harder to find containers, as they are stuck on ships or at docks. Bookings from some carriers have also been can- celed for months — called “vessel voids” — leaving products stranded. Boshart Davis estimates their costs are up 100% to 150% between increased rates and fees, to say nothing of the mental Tracey and emo- Chow tional toll. “When you can’t be pro- ductive and efficient ... it costs a lot of money when you’re scrambling all the time,” she said. Todd Fryhover, pres- ident of the Washington Apple Commission, said his members are under similar pressure. Apples are Washington’s most valuable agricultural commodity, with $2.1 bil- lion in sales in 2020. About 30% of the state’s produc- tion is exported, though Fryhover said port conges- tion has producers concen- trating this year more on North American markets as opposed to overseas. But that also has a cost. For every 1 million boxes of fresh apples shifted into the U.S. domestic mar- ket, the price drops about 50 cents per box as supply begins to overtake demand, Fryhover said. “The entire supply chain as been affected,” he said. “It’s not easy to point at one place and say, ‘Fix this and everything will be bet- ter.’ That’s certainly not the case.” Increasing capacity The vast majority of marine cargo in the North- west is handled by the ports of Seattle and Tacoma, Wash., governed by the Northwest Seaport Alli- ance. It is the fifth-busiest container gateway in the U.S., behind the ports of Los Angeles, Long Beach, New York-New Jersey and Savannah, Ga. Tom Bellerud, chief operations officer for the seaport alliance, said agri- culture is a dominant exporter in the region. Congestion has cer- tainly hampered the Seat- tle-Tacoma gateway, Bel- lerud said, though he sees signs that pressure may be letting up somewhat. The number of ships that were once backed up in Seattle — albeit not as extreme as Southern California — is now the lowest it has been “in a very long time,” he said. Bellerud credited a few factors that have helped to relieve the bottlenecks. First, he said both Seat- tle and Tacoma are utiliz- ing alternative container yards, freeing up valuable space on the terminal docks and allowing products to move more efficiently. The Port of Seattle identified an additional 40 acres at Ter- minal 46, and the Port of Tacoma opened an addi- tional 20-acre yard. “We have the luxury of having some additional land and space near our ter- minals that can offer greater utility to the overall opera- tions,” Bellerud said. The biggest upgrade, however, will be the reopen- ing of Terminal 5 in Seattle, Bellerud said. The 185-acre terminal has been under construction for several years. It is slated to go into service in phases beginning in January, with more than $500 million in improvements. “That will open some space and relieve some con- gestion at Terminal 18,” Bellerud said. Bellerud said he is not aware of any other major port operation bringing this much new capacity to the marketplace. “We’re very proud of that,” he said. New legislation Solving the supply chain crisis is expected to take time, but agricultural groups are encouraged by a bill they say will crack down on shipping lines’ unreasonable practices and improve transparency for exporters. The Ocean Shipping Reform Act of 2021 passed the U.S. House of Repre- sentatives with bipartisan support on Dec. 8. Law- makers have said the bill will ensure maritime ship- ping remains competitive, reciprocal and protect busi- nesses from price gouging. Tracey Chow, federal government affairs special- ist for Western Growers, said the bill is not a silver bullet, but as the shipping crisis eases it will allow the industry to ensure a level playing field for agricul- tural exporters. “We want the commerce system to work for both sides,” Chow said. For example, West- ern Growers — which rep- resents vegetable, fruit and tree nut farms in Califor- nia, Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico — has called out the practice of ocean carriers sending empty containers directly back to Asia instead of sending them inland to be loaded with agricultural goods for export. Carriers are able to charge upward of $20,000 per container for imports from Asia, enticing them to skip agricultural exports altogether. “From a business per- spective, it’s hard to com- pete with that,” Chow said. “You can’t just keep bring- ing in imports and not have reciprocity for exports to leave.” The Ocean Shipping Reform Act would prohibit carriers from declining U.S. exports “unreasonably,” as determined by the Federal Maritime Commission. It would also require common carriers to report to the commission total import and export tonnage, and loaded versus empty containers per vessel each quarter. To incentivize efficiency, Chow said ocean carriers and ports may charge what are known as “detention and demurrage” fees if con- tainers are not unloaded or returned quickly. The fees can be as much as $500 per day per container. But with congestion at the ports, Chow said exporters may not have the flexibility to avoid getting hit with penalties. It is typically up to the invoiced party to dispute whether these charges are reasonable. The bill would shift that burden of proof to the ocean carrier. “(This crisis) has brought attention to how imbal- anced the maritime ship- ping industry is becoming,” Chow said. “Everybody understands this is an issue that needs to be addressed.” Looking ahead, Fried- mann, with the transporta- tion coalition, said the cri- sis at ports could drag into 2023 before ocean carriers can provide more ships and containers, and demand for imported consumer goods starts to abate. “As long as people are staying home and buy- ing these huge volumes of imported goods, and every- thing we own and play with is made overseas, this is going to continue,” he said. Snow: ‘It’s unlikely we’ll have as bad of conditions as we did last year’ Continued from Page 1 100% to 126% of average. “It’s unlikely we’ll have as bad of conditions as we did last year,” said Bond. However, Bond said, to make up for deficits, cli- mate models predict it would require 140% to 150% of nor- mal precipitation levels to continue for six months to end the drought — “a tall order.” Bond predicts La Nina, a weather event that chills the Northern U.S., may bring a cool, wet spring to help replenish water supplies. Though the outlook is pos- itive for irrigation districts, Bond said farmers running non-irrigated pastures and dryland crops will struggle in 2022 unless there’s more low-elevation rainfall in the coming months, something that’s not associated with La Nina. Oregon West of the Cascades, snowpack is good, though experts say it could take a few years of above-average precipitation to refill some basins. Scott Oviatt, snow sur- vey supervisor for Oregon’s Natural Resources Conserva- tion Service, said to fill res- ervoirs and improve stream- flows, substantial snowpack and precipitation are needed, which could be disrupted if there’s an early spring melt- out or dry period in the mid- dle of winter. As of Dec. 26, the snow-water equivalent in the Willamette Basin was 153% of average, and the snow-water equivalent in the Rogue-Umpqua was 187% of normal. “That’s really great. The trend is towards recovery,” said Larry O’Neill, Ore- gon state climatologist and professor at Oregon State University. But in Central and Eastern Oregon, where precipitation had been below-average this fall, drought may continue unabated. “There’s probably going be an East-West divide this year,” said O’Neill. “Even though a lot of times you hear the Pacific Northwest is doing great this winter, Cen- tral Oregon probably isn’t going to recover this year. I want to make sure people are prepared.” Southern Oregon, experts say, is a wild card. Snow and rainfall levels vary across the region, and complex water-management issues in the Klamath Basin are intertwined. “A good water year is not going to solve the problems there,” said Bond. Idaho Bill Wojcik, meteorologist for the National Weather Ser- vice in Boise, said Idaho is on track for a better water year but has a long way to go. “We had quite a deficit and we’re making up some ground,” said Wojcik. According to SNOTEL data Dec. 27, the South- ern portion of the state bor- dering Nevada and Utah has below-average snow-water equivalent levels, the Owyhee and Upper Snake basins are at 95% of average, the Boise River Basin is at 125% of average and Payette is at 122%. Though things are looking up, experts say it still would probably take 120% of aver- age snowpack all winter to refill crucial reservoirs. California Jeanine Jones, drought and interstate resources man- ager at the California Water Resources Department, said it’s “simply too early to tell” how the recent Sierra Nevada snow storms will impact next year’s water supplies. Nevertheless, she said the situation looks positive. “Currently, Sierra Nevada snowpack is well above aver- age, which is great. Will that continue?” she said. “I will say we’re much better off than we were at this time last year.” Jones said it will take sig- nificant precipitation to bring many reservoirs back to nor- mal levels. Although some watersheds are doing well, Jones said others — including Shasta and Oroville — started the season “very, very low” and are still low.