November 24, 2017 CapitalPress.com 11 Hunter, wolves more likely to cross paths as wolf population increases WOLF from Page 1 ODFW and OSP he’d shot an uncollared wolf in northeast Oregon that ran at him while at least two other wolves ap- peared to be flanking him. The Union County district at- torney reviewed the case and decided not to prosecute the hunter; state police said the hunter acted in self-defense. Conservation groups and others say the 30.06 bullet’s trajectory — through one side and out the other — is at odds with the man’s account. Some accused the hunter of panicking, or of deliberately killing the animal and mak- ing up a story to justify it. In an interview with the Capi- tal Press, the hunter said he believed he was in danger. When the wolf ran at him, he said, he screamed, raised his rifle, saw fur in the scope and fired. A shell casing was found 27 yards from the wolf’s carcass. In August, ODFW killed four wolves from the Harl Butte Pack after a series of attacks on cattle. In Septem- ber, a livestock producer act- ing with authorization from ODFW shot a Meacham Pack wolf to protect his herd. Yet another wolf, OR-42, the breeding female of the Chesnimnus Pack, was found dead in May. The cause of death was undetermined, but foul play was not suspect- ed. Meanwhile, several wolf deaths from 2015 and 2016 remain unsolved. Pedery, of Oregon Wild, said the conservation group is not aware of an organized effort to kill wolves. But he said the ODFW-sanctioned killing of wolves for livestock attacks helps establish an at- mosphere in which poachers feel they can get away with it or are justified. In rural northeast Oregon, where the majority of Or- egon’s wolf packs live, the situation is layered with a de- cade of livestock losses, the cost and worry of non-lethal deterrence and resentment over urban residents weighing in on what are considered lo- cal matters. Divisive national politics find expression in an- ti-wolf reactions as well, Ped- ery said. Other observers point out that Oregon’s steadily in- creasing wolf population, and their dispersal from Northeast Oregon, means armed hunters are more likely to encounter them in the wild. Carter Niemeyer, a retired federal wildlife biologist with extensive experience track- ing, trapping and occasionally shooting wolves, said wolves are potentially dangerous but unlikely to attack humans. A shout or warning shot should scare them off, he said, and he suggested hikers carry bear repellent spray if they are worried about bears, cougars, coyotes or wolves. ‘You’re just not American if you don’t have cranberry sauce on the table’ RECIPE from Page 1 AFBF’s Thanksgiving meal cost survey by menu item, 2017 * Cranberry crunch Then there are cranberries. The agricultural scholars at the University of Califor- nia-Davis report we eat 400 million pounds of cranber- ries per year, with about 20 percent, 80 million pounds, served during Thanksgiving. “National Eat a Cranberry Day,” which we hadn’t heard of before, is observed Nov. 23 each year, according to UC-Davis. George Bussmann, a cranberry grower in Sixes, Ore., on the southern Oregon Coast, said quality and yield were fine this year but prices remain depressed, hovering around $20 for a hundred- weight barrel. Much lower and it won’t be worth the cost of delivering them, he said. He said the cranberry in- ventory is high and the USDA probably will soon regulate volume, with growers limited to delivering a certain allot- ment. Some growers say one bad year in the Midwest — Wisconsin produces about 60 percent of the nation’s crop — would “fix everything,” but Bussmann doubts it. “In my opinion we’re go- ing to be here for a while,” he said. “It’s not a great, gleam- ing time in our industry right now,” Bussmann figures he will ride it out, however. “My brother has a saying for it: It’s too early to tell and it’s too late to turn back,” he said with a laugh. He said everyone should serve cranberry sauce with the holiday meals. “You’re just not American if you don’t have cranberry sauce on the table,” he said, only half-joking. “You don’t necessarily have to eat it, but it has to be in the picture.” Pumpkin pied Pumpkin pie is such a fix- ture at Thanksgiving that we inhale an estimated 50 million of them. The American Pie Council — yet another orga- nization we had no reason to think existed — has a website of such information at https:// www.piecouncil.org/pdf/Pie_ Fun_Facts.pdf. Among other things, the Pie Council says 6 million American men between the ages of 35 and 54 have eaten the last slice of pie and denied Item John O’Connell/Capital Press File Aberdeen, Idaho, farmer Ritchey Toevs inspects a potato during his harvest. Toevs said processing potato growers have seen their contracts erode in recent years and will earn a slim margin this season, despite increases in fresh potato prices. 16-pound turkey Pumpkin pie mix (30 oz.) Whole milk (1 gallon) 1-pound veggie tray (carrots, celery) Misc. ingredients Rolls (dozen) Pie shells (2) Green peas (1 pound) Fresh cranberries (12 ounces) Whipping cream (half-pint) Cubed stuffing (14 ounces) Sweet potatoes (3 pounds) Total it, which seems low. Out on Sauvie Island’s Delta Farms in the Portland area, however, it’s winter squash that moves well this time of year. Delta Farms is the wholesale pumpkin and squash sales arm of owner Bob Egger’s Pumpkin Patch retail business. Egger sells whole pump- kins and squash to grocery chains such as Albertsons. Winter squash in particular seems to be gaining favor on the holiday table and for use in soups and purees, he said. Egger said his squash also sells well in Utah, and he was pleased recently to find them in a grocery store in Denton, Texas. Squash keeps well and ships easily without damage, he said. “Demand has been really good,” he said. “I think peo- ple are eating more and more winter squash.” Mixed vegetables Meanwhile, prices nation- wide have fallen for much of the other produce that’s pop- ular at Thanksgiving, such as sweet potatoes, carrots, celery, peas and green beans. Sweet potatoes advertised for an average of $1.04 per pound this year were selling for $1.40 in 2016, according to a USDA retail price report. Things are somewhat bet- ter in the West, where grow- ers have seen their returns hold steady or increase slight- ly since last year, according to government and industry sources. Celery selling for 66 cents per pound in recent weeks was bringing 47 cents a pound last year, and carrots, at 31 cents a pound, are 2 cents higher than November 2016, according to the Western Growers Producer Price Index. In the Pacific Northwest, the $14 per hundredweight grow- ers received for green peas as of Nov. 14 was up from be- tween $9 and $10 a year ago, the USDA reported. But while their receipts have held steady, growers say their costs for labor and fuel keep going up, making their margins tighter. And this is particularly true in California, where farms are grappling with a recently enacted gasoline and diesel tax increase and a law that will raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2022. The cur- rent minimum wage is $10 to $10.50 an hour, depending on the number of employees. “The cost of labor here is ridiculous,” said Ryan Power, co-owner of New Family Farm in Sebastopol, Calif., which raises produce sold in local stores and directly to consum- ers. He said a local housing shortage has added to the farm’s costs. “We’ve had to provide hous- ing for our employees,” Power said. “That’s been a challenge.” Prices to growers in the West may be aided by shortag- es for several crops. Extreme weather has caused a shortage of cauliflower nationwide in recent years, but New Fami- ly sent 60 cases of it to local stores on Nov. 16, Power said. Fresh domestic green beans are another commodity in high demand, said Mary Ocasion, owner of Churn Creek Mead- ow Organic Farm in Redding, Calif. “Green beans are sky-high right now because it’s really hard to get them,” she said. 2016 2017 $22.74 3.13 3.17 0.73 2.81 2.46 2.59 1.58 2.39 2 2.67 3.60 $22.38 3.21 2.99 0.74 2.72 2.26 2.45 1.53 2.43 2.08 2.81 3.52 Difference -$0.36 0.08 -0.18 0.01 -0.09 -0.20 -0.14 -0.05 0.04 0.08 0.14 -0.08 49.87 49.12 -0.75 *141 volunteer shoppers from 39 states participated in this year’s American Farm Bureau Federation survey. The data is unscientific and based on a typical classic Thanksgiving meal for up to 10 people. AFBF’s survey menu has remained unchanged since 1986. Source: American Farm Bureau Federation “They have to be grown in special conditions. It’s too cold this time of year for green beans. The weather is too ex- treme. You have to have a protective environment with a heater running. It raises costs. And payroll costs are so much higher for growers.” Churn Creek Meadow de- livers hand-picked produce directly to consumers. The wet winter and hot summer in 2017 took their toll on some yields, particularly vegetables normally planted in the sum- mer to be available during the holidays, Ocasion said. “Carrots are one of those things we had a hard time with over the summer because of the heat,” she said. “But they’re doing well now.” Potato ups, downs Did someone say “mashed potatoes?” Fresh potato growers can give thanks this holiday season that their market has finally re- covered and prices continue to strengthen. James Hoff, an Idaho Falls fresh grower who serves on the Idaho Potato Commission, estimates his production costs at about $6 per hundredweight. Hoff said current estimates place returns to fresh russet growers at roughly $8.50 per hundredweight. “I should be able to pay down some debt this year, which is pretty exciting,” Hoff said. “It’s been a long stretch since we’ve had decent pota- to prices, and we should see a little rate of return that might Alan Kenaga/Capital Press put a Band-Aid on the wounds we’ve seen in the past few years.” Growers who raise spuds for processing have received more stable payments in re- cent years due to their con- tracts, but contract rates have gradually declined, explained Ritchey Toevs, an Aberdeen, Idaho, potato farmer who also serves on the Idaho Potato Commission. “We have seen continual (contract price) erosion over the last five years,” Toevs said. Costs of labor and electric- ity, however, have risen, Toevs said. “It’s getting to where you have to have exceptional yields, above the state average, to make money,” Toevs said. As the industry enters its peak season, IPC President and CEO Frank Muir said strong fresh potato demand should also help processed potato growers negotiate for higher contracts, and sell any production over their contract- ed volumes. “It’s pretty clear the pro- cessors are also looking for incremental potatoes, and that should bode well for those who have some extra potatoes to sell,” Muir said. Wheat worries Grain growers agree they won’t see much return from consumption of fresh loaves of bread, Thanksgiving din- ner rolls and pie crusts. Hoff said hard red spring wheat, his primary rotation crop, is now selling for $6 per bushel. “You’re not going to make anything at $6 per bushel,” Hoff said. Fortunately, Hoff forward contracted much of his wheat in June, when the price was about $1 per bushel higher, and said growers produced a “phenomenal wheat crop.” He also believes there’s a tighter supply of high-quality wheat for milling. Toevs said the current price of his soft white winter wheat is roughly $4 per bushel, which is about $3 below the highs of 2015. “At $4, that’s going to get you back less than $500 per acre,” said Toevs, who esti- mates his wheat production costs at $700 per acre. Dairy doldrums Milk used for making whipped cream, butter, cheese and other dairy products served on Thanksgiving dinner plates will also be produced at a slight loss in the Northwest, said Rick Naerebout, CEO of the Idaho Dairyman’s Associ- ation. “The financial performance of our average dairymen this year will probably be a little bit below break-even,” Naere- bout said. “We need demand to pick up for us to have a good 2018 based on the amount of milk we’re seeing produced in the U.S. and major exporting regions throughout the world.” Naerebout said the typical dairy market cycle involves a strong year, an OK year and a poor year, followed by the return of a strong year. Based on the normal pattern, he said 2017 should have been a strong year, but wasn’t. Kim Korn, an Idaho Dairy Products Commission mem- ber who has a 90-cow dairy in Terreton, said prices of Idaho’s two major dairy classes, Class III and Class IV, are especial- ly low. Korn, who sells to the Dairy Farmers of America cooperative, said she’s paid a premium under her contract for higher butter fat and pro- tein, which has helped her fi- nancially. “It used to be the periods of ups and downs were spread out more,” Korn said. “Now, it seems like from week to week, the price is upward and then way down.” Capital Press report- ers Tim Hearden and John O’Connell contributed to this story. La Nina conditions have greatest effect in Northwest after the first of the year WINTER from Page 1 increased chances for wetter weather in the northern U.S. and drier weather in the south- ern U.S. Climatologists expect the La Nina to remain “weak,” a measurement of how much lower than normal sea tem- peratures are. However, the prediction center noted than a large reservoir of cold water across the Pacific could fore- shadow a stronger La Nina. Bond said he doubts a strong La Nina will develop, though a moderate La Nina could evolve. Even a weak La Nina influences the weather, he said. La Nina conditions were weak last winter, but a large snowpack supplied irri- gation systems through a hot and dry summer. Bond said La Nina condi- tions have their greatest effect in the Northwest after the first of the year. “As the season goes on, its influence grows,” Bond said. “I would say the evidence that it’s going to be colder than normal in December is on the skimpy side, but there’s no evidence it will be warmer than normal. “For later in the winter, there’s more of an argument that it’ll be on the chilly side.” Snowpacks in basins throughout Washington are well above normal for mid-November. Bond said the early start in accumulating snow doesn’t necessarily tele- graph what the rest of winter will be like. “The connections are pretty weak,” he said. “Things can change.” Besides Washington, Western Oregon and the Ida- ho panhandle are forecast to be colder than normal for the three-month period. There is no strong signal for Eastern Oregon, Northern California and most of Idaho, according to the prediction center. Southern Idaho falls in the portion of the country expect- ed to have a winter warmed by La Nina. Washington, Idaho and the northern half of Oregon are ex- pected to be wet. The southern half of Oregon and Northern California are forecast to have average precipitation. 47-1/102