November 17, 2017 CapitalPress.com 3 Corps takes another look at stored water Amount for farming in the proposed allocations falls short, offi cial says By ERIC MORTENSON Capital Press Capital Press File An irrigation intake pipe draws water from the Willamette River. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Oregon Water Resources Depart- ment propose allocating irrigators 253,500 acre-feet of the 1.59 million acre-feet stored behind 13 dams in the basin. implies, an acre-foot is the amount of water needed to cover an acre of land with 12 inches of water: • Fish and wildlife — 962,800 acre-feet. • Municipalities and indus- try — 73,300 acre-feet. • Irrigation — 253,500 acre-feet. • Joint use — 299,950 acre-feet. The latter would be avail- able as needed to supplement specifi c uses and to pro- vide fl exibility as conditions change. Mary Anne Cooper, public policy counsel for the Oregon Farm Bureau, said the amount assigned to irrigation is “not nearly enough.” She said the bureau has seen demand es- timates higher than that, but declined to state a number at this point in the process. The amount designated for joint use is another concern, Cooper said. “Our concern is that we will never get to use it,” she said. “We think it will go to fi sh. We don’t believe we’ll ever see any part of that joint use (amount).” Willamette Basin dams and reservoirs Willamette River Basin N 26 20 miles 1. Big Cliff 2. Detroit 3. Green Peter 4. Foster 5. Blue River 6. Cougar 7. Hills Creek 8. Cottage Grove 9. Dorena 10. Lookout 11. Fall Creek 12. Dexter 13. Fern Ridge Source: U.S. Bureau of Reclamation Alan Kenaga/ Capital Press Portland 101 Willa mette R Willamette Valley farm- ers and ranchers would have rights to about 250,000 acre- feet of irrigation water annu- ally under a reallocation plan suggested by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Ore- gon Water Resources Depart- ment. The proposal is the latest attempt to decide who gets access to the water stored be- hind 13 federal dams in the basin. For agriculture, even in the wet Willamette Valley, water availability in spring and summer is crucial. The Corps’ preferred op- tion allocates more than three times more than what irriga- tors now draw from the Willa- mette system, but the Oregon Farm Bureau said that’s not enough. Cities, industries and fi sh and wildlife experts and ad- vocates are likely to make the same arguments about their allocation under the plan, and that sets the stage for some tough discussion. Climate change, urban development, population growth, fi sh and wildlife habi- tat decisions and legal techni- calities swirl in the current. It’s not a new problem. Discussion began in 1996, popped up again in 1999, fell off the table in 2000 and was revived in 2015. This time, the Corps of Engineers emerged with a proposal that specifi cally divvies up 1.59 million acre-feet stored annu- ally behind the dams. “We have just reached the point in the study where we are asking the public to re- view the tentative plan and provide feedback before a de- cision is made,” Corps project leader Laurie Nicholas said in a prepared statement. Here’s the Corps’ sug- gested breakout. As the name iver 26 5 Salem 1 Albany Corvallis 4 13 8 101 5 She said the water allocat- ed to fi sh and wildlife — pro- tected salmon and steelhead runs are the driving factors — are “more than adequate and too large.” Cooper said an assured water supply is critical to “re- 3 20 5 Eugene 11 12 10 9 2 6 7 97 alize the full potential of agri- culture in the valley.” Producers are driven by markets, she said, and will grow higher value crops when irrigation is available. It’s dif- fi cult to predict which crops will be in demand in the de- cades ahead, she noted. “I think the state would be shortchanged to not plan for future ag needs,” she said. The issue has roots in de- cisions, missed opportunities and delayed action that date back nearly 80 years. The Willamette River Ba- sin’s 13 dams were built be- tween 1941 and 1969, and their primary purpose is fl ood control during the winter. Congress also authorized the Army Corps of Engineers to operate the dams and reser- voirs to generate electricity, provide irrigation, assure wa- ter quality, offer recreation and to support fi sh and wild- life. However, there isn’t a specifi c amount of reservoir storage allocated for any par- ticular use. Federal bureaucracy com- plicates the matter because another federal agency, the Bureau of Reclamation, holds the only water right certif- icates to the “conservation storage” behind the dams. Un- der those certifi cates, all 1.59 million acre-feet in storage is designated for irrigation. But only 75,000 acre-feet per year is now contracted for irrigation. Cooper said a lack of expensive infrastructure — pipes, pumps and canals — limits how much water farm- ers draw. In any reallocation solution, the Bureau of Rec- lamation would have to fi le with the Oregon Water Re- sources Department to change how water use is designated. Cooper said the Farm Bu- reau is willing to engage with the other stakeholders to fi nd a solution. The stakes are high. The Willamette River Basin en- compasses more than 11,000 square miles, is home to near- ly 70 percent of the state’s population and contains its biggest cities — Portland, Sa- lem, and Eugene — many of its major industries and some of its best farmland. The reallocation work comes on the heels of a six- year Oregon State Universi- ty research project that used computer modeling to predict water availability, demand and storage in the Willamette River Basin to the year 2100. The OSU modeling pro- jected Willamette Valley farm- ers will plant earlier and begin irrigating about two weeks sooner than they do now. Cli- mate change most likely will result in wetter winters, OSU researchers said, but the snow- pack will be severely reduced and will melt and run off earli- er than it does now. Rainy winters and springs will be followed by hotter and drier summers, but more farmers will have fi nished irrigating by the time water shutoffs are contemplated, the research team concluded. Although the reduced snow- pack will cause the loss of an estimated 600,000 acre-feet of stored water, it won’t have a signifi cant impact on farmers in the Willamette River basin who rely on rain-fed streams. Farmers in the more arid East- ern Oregon and Deschutes and Klamath basins, however, de- pend more on melting snow for irrigation water and are more likely to face shortages. Researcher predicts farmers will warm to climate challenge, adapt practices By DON JENKINS Capital Press Don Jenkins/Capital Press Washington State University researcher Chad Kruger speaks about climate change and agriculture Nov. 10 at the Tilth Conference in Vancouver. Kruger, who directs the WSU research centers in Mount Vernon and Puyallup, says he’s optimistic farmers will adapt to higher temperatures. range of future possibilities and making decisions that are robust across those pos- sibilities,” he said. “We have to get better information into the hands of the farmers who have decisions to make.” Northwest farmers are better positioned geograph- ically to adjust than their counterparts in southern cli- mates, Kruger said. Even if temperatures rise, snow will fall in Canada and melt into the Columbia River, and the Northwest won’t be as prone to long droughts as the South- west, he said. “It’s a lot worse else- where,” Kruger said. “The closer you are to the equator, the more vulnerable you are.” The new National Climate Assessment, a quadrennial product of government and university scientists, confi - dently predicts rising tempera- tures, though the message on precipitation is less clear. The current thinking is that in the Northwest more precip- itation will fall as rain, rather than snow. “I’m very optimistic,” Kru- ger said. “Farmers are smart. That’s the bottom line.” Grass Expertise. LET’S TALK! GREENWAY SEEDS Caldwell, Idaho • Alan Greenway, Seedsman Cell: 298-259-9159 • MSG: 298-454-8342 Over 40 Years Experience Alan Greenway, Seedsman 46-3/108 VANCOUVER, Wash. — Climate change may sprout weeds, breed insects and shrink snowpacks, but it won’t be anything farmers can’t handle, a Washington State University researcher said Friday at an agriculture conference. Chad Kruger, who directs WSU’s Mount Vernon and Puyallup research centers, said farmers are used to oper- ating in an unsteady climate. “We already deal with a substantial amount of vari- ability,” Kruger said. “Our best hope for the future is really smart, well-equipped farmers.” Kruger spoke at the annu- al conference organized by the Tilth Alliance, a group focused on small farms, espe- cially those that are organic. He was one of several speak- ers at a symposium on North- west agriculture and climate change. The speaker before him, University of Washington climate scientist Heidi Roop, outlined scenarios in which average Washington tempera- tures rise between 2 and 8 degrees by mid-century. She encouraged growers to think of the drought of 2015 as look at the future. Kruger said he’s skeptical about scientists’ ability to pin- point future temperatures, but he said he fi nds the projected ranges reasonable. Whatever the range, the future will resemble the pres- ent in that farmers will have to plan for wet and dry years, cold spells and heat waves, he said. Researchers are starting to look into how higher tempera- tures would affect plants, wa- ter and soil, Kruger said. “We’re shifting into more of a discussion about the 46-3/HOU