 November 13, 2015 CapitalPress.com 13 Dairy/Livestock Idaho shooting sparks More farmers trade dairy for nuts, analysts say open range debate Subscribe to our weekly dairy or livestock email newsletter at CapitalPress.com/newsletters By CAROL RYAN DUMAS Capital Press By JOHN O’CONNELL Capital Press POCATELLO, Idaho — A recent incident in which a car collided with a bull on U.S. 95 near Council, Idaho, and the rancher who owned the animal was subsequent- ly killed during a shootout with deputies has sparked a renewed debate on Idaho’s longstanding open range law. An opinion piece authored by Hailey-based Western Wa- tersheds Project concludes the incident provides further proof that Idaho’s open range law is antiquated and that “private property rights in Idaho apparently only apply to ranchers.” Offi cials with Idaho Farm Bureau Federation, howev- er, believe the conservation group crossed an ethical line to score political points, cal- lously building its arguments on a tragedy. Two people in the Subaru that hit the bull were airlifted to a local hospital following the crash at 6:45 p.m. on Nov. 1. Details of their conditions have not been released. The bull’s owner, Jack Yantis, 62, of Council, ar- rived as Adams County Sher- iff’s deputies were poised to put down the agitated animal, according to an Idaho State Police press release. Gunfi re ensued. Yantis died at the scene, and a deputy sustained a minor injury, according to police. “The events that trans- pired over the course of the next few minutes are under investigation, but, at this time, it is believed that two deputies and Mr. Yantis all fired their weapons,” police said in the press release. According to media re- ports, Yantis’ wife suffered a heart attack after learning of the incident. Western open range laws date back to 1880s, when the region was being settled and cows commonly grazed unfettered. Idaho’s law ap- plies to “all unenclosed lands outside of cities, vil- lages and herd districts, upon which cattle, by cus- tom, license, lease or per- mit, are grazed or permitted to roam.” In the opinion piece, published on Western Wa- tersheds social media sites and by Wildlife News, Ken Cole, Idaho director of Western Watersheds, argued Idaho’s open range law is antiquated and places re- sponsibility on accident vic- tims rather than on livestock owners. Cole also wrote that he’s seen open-range ranch- ers place water troughs along roadways, with little regard for the safety of mo- torists. “There are several ques- tions that need to be an- swered here. Did Yantis die because he felt emboldened by Idaho’s open range laws to confront the deputies who were about to kill his prized bull for the protection of themselves and bystanders? Do Idaho’s open range laws inflate the sense of entitle- ment felt by an elite class of people and put lives at risk unfairly?” Cole wrote. Idaho Farm Bureau spokesman John Thompson acknowledges there are val- id points on both sides of the open range argument, including by Eastern Ida- ho farmers who met with ranchers to address con- cerns about cattle grazing in their fields. But he consid- ers it distasteful for Western Watersheds to seek to capi- talize on tragedy. “People are dead and fighting for their lives, and still people are saying, ‘We’re going to get politi- cal favor out of this deal,’” Thompson said. “We try to shine a light on the fact that they’re trying to make polit- ical hay out of this situation, and hopefully people go, ‘Yes, that is screwed up.’” A growing number of Cali- fornia dairies are diversifying their operations to include nut production — or switching completely to nut production, analysts say. “Nut people, especially al- mond people, are scrambling for acreage … and at least a handful of dairies have closed down and converted to nuts or sold out and bought other property” to grow nuts, said Vernon Crowder, senior vice president and senior analyst at Rabobank. At the same time, the state’s milk production will continue its modest annual in- crease, he said. “We wanted to see if the trend of modest growth in dairy is going to change. Our conclusion is it’s unlikely,” he said. While smaller or less effi - cient dairies are likely to be pressured to sell out and con- vert to nuts due to the increas- ing costs of water and land and environmental regulation, other dairies are there to buy their cows right away, he said. At the same time, many dairies are adding orchards. “Most of our customers have diversifi ed and are growing some kind of nut,” he said. It’s increased their prof- itability and diversifi cation. The only downside is they might have to buy more feed off the farm, he said. But with the growing glob- al demand for dairy products, producing milk will continue to be competitive with other California commodities, ac- cording to Rabobank’s new report, “Milking Cows or Go- ing Nuts?” Nonetheless, milk price volatility and higher feed costs have squeezed dairy- men’s profi t margins, and profi tability in other crops has increased the cost of land with good water — land dairymen would want for feed produc- tion. Those factors have in- creasingly led dairy farmers in the Central Valley to plant Tim Hearden/Capital Press Cows are milked at VanderWoude Dairy near Merced, Calif. A growing number of California dairies are diversifying their operations to include nut production — or switching completely to nut production, analysts say. California alfalfa vs. almond acres 1,200 1,040 890: Up 50.8% from 2005 800 590 (Thousands of acres) Alfalfa Almonds (bearing) Almonds (non-bearing) 400 110 820*: Down 21.2% from 2005 150: Up 36.4% from 2005 *Forecast 0 2005 ’07 ’09 Source: USDA NASS nut orchards to both diversify and generate more income per acre, the analysts reported. During the last 10 years, the prices of almonds, wal- nuts and pistachios have in- creased due to growing export demand. A good yield on nut crops requires about the same amount of water as alfalfa in the Central Valley, and input costs for nut production are less volatile compared to milk production, Crowder said. Those factors make or- chard production an attractive alternative. But many dairy producers will continue to do what they know best, and their annual cash fl ow is usu- ’11 ’13 2015 Capital Press graphic ally more balanced than crop production, the report notes. Still some smaller dairies — those that don’t have the economy of scale enjoyed by larger dairies — might be tempted to take the plunge, sell the dairy and plant al- monds, which are profi table even in a small-scale opera- tion. To assess the case for switching to nuts, Rabobank considered the profi tability of a hypothetical Califor- nia dairy and the impacts of switching part or all of its op- eration to almonds. Taking into account the future relative profi tability of dairying and almond produc- tion, that assessment found the hypothetical 2,500 mature cow dairy with 95 percent of its 620-acre cropland planted to alfalfa would make a net profi t of $19.67 million in the fi rst 10 years. Converting the alfalfa acres to almond production would improve the dairy’s 10- year net return by $850,000. Switching the entire op- eration to almonds, with 620 acres suffi cient for 597 acres of almond production and allow for roads and other re- quired land use, would net $11.1 million in the fi rst 10 years. The sale of the cows, equipment and infrastructure would fund the development costs of the almond orchard, the analysts stated. If all price and cost as- sumptions were to contin- ue for the life of the orchard — about 20 years — dairy- ing would still remain more profi table, with a net revenue stream of nearly $40 million. The orchard would have a net revenue stream of roughly $35 million over that 20 years. A key part of the dairies’ success is the positive reve- nue streams from year one, whereas the orchard has a negative revenue stream in the fi rst two years and doesn’t break even until year fi ve, the analysts noted. Dairy markets start November strong; cheese still 50 cents below last year C ME, cash dairy prices started November on an up note. The block Cheddar cheese closed the first Friday of the month at $1.70 per pound, up 8 cents on the week and the highest price since Oct. 12, but still 50 cents below a year ago. The barrels closed at $1.65, up 5 1/2-cents on the week but 47 cents below a year ago. Only one car of block traded hands last week and 23 of barrel. The blocks inched a pen- ny higher Monday but gave it back Tuesday. The barrels Dairy Markets Lee Mielke dropped 2 3/4-cents Monday and lost 3 1/4-cents Tuesday, dipping to $1.59, an unsus- tainable 11 cents below the blocks. Steady milk intakes have translated into steady cheese production, according to Dairy Market News (DMN). Processors say on occasion they are short a load or two of milk, but are hesitant to buy unless the milk can be purchased at a discount. Manufacturers report do- mestic orders for natural cheese has been strong, with some customers willing to take extra loads. Food ser- vice demand has been solid. Interest in barrels has grown. Some Western contacts reported strong milk sup- plies have allowed them to maintain full cheese pro- duction schedules. Although milk production has de- creased following seasonal trends, most processors are not having any trouble get- ting milk. Cheese demand from food service and retail is still good. Spot butter closed Fri- day at a lofty $2.8850 per pound, up 11 1/2-cents on the week on unfilled bids, 87 3/4-cents above a year ago, and the highest spot price since Sept. 28, 2015. No butter was traded last week at the CME. The cash price was un- changed Monday and Tues- day. DMN says “butter pro- duction in the Central re- gion is active, with churn operators pulling spot cream loads as they can to beef up production runs. Spot cream availability varies, with some buyers reporting they are once again competing with Class II manufacturers to obtain cream.” “Western butter pro- duction remains active. A few manufacturers report they are near or at capaci- ty. Cream supplies are tight as some butter makers seek extra loads to make print butter for remaining sea- sonal orders. A number of manufacturers report butter inventories are tight. Do- mestic pull has been strong, but as the peak butter season passes, some industry con- tacts are asking when the demand will be satisfied and an adjustment in price will follow.” Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk finished Friday at 81 cents per pound, up a half-cent on the week but 37 cents below a year ago. Eleven cars were sold last week at the CME. The powder was also un- changed Monday and Tues- day. 46-2/#13