COFFEE BREAK
B6 — THE OBSERVER & BAKER CITY HERALD
THuRSDAY, OCTOBER 7, 2021
Girlfriend wants live-in beau to end his marriage
In Massachusetts
Dear In Limbo: Assuming
this man lives with you rent-free,
you have spent the last six years
with a houseguest who is more
concerned with his net worth than
your need for validation. If his
wife wanted a divorce, it would
have happened already, and the
issue of property division could
have been bifurcated (separated).
Obviously, this arrangement is
serving them both in some way.
Your next step should be to make
a final decision about whether the
status quo is acceptable to you,
because it isn’t going to change.
Dear Abby: My brother-in-law
(age 75) apparently doesn’t like
kids. He and my sister dont
Dear Abby: I have been with
a man for the last six years. He
has been separated for 20 years.
When I asked him if he was going
to finalize his divorce, he said no.
When I said I would like a com-
mitment, he said he gave me one
when he moved in five years ago.
I said I want more. His wife even
asked him for a divorce, but he
said it’s expensive. I told him by
my upcoming 50th birthday I
want a yes or no on the divorce.
What should I do? — In Limbo
may choose not to attend. How
can I tactfully handle this issue?
Any help is appreciated. —
Wants To Have A Good Time
Dear Wants: Unfortunately,
some people don’t know how to
let go of a microphone once they
have one and aren’t able to sense
they have lost their audience.
Handle this uncomfortable situa-
tion by advising all the speakers
that their remarks must be limited
to no more than three minutes. Of
course, if the “sermon” runs long,
you will have to step forward and
call a halt to it by asking the audi-
ence to give the person a big hand
to show their appreciation. (If that
doesn’t do the trick, you may have
to resort to a hook.)
a private talk with your sister.
Could he be entering a second
childhood? Knowing how he feels
about children, if you wish to
see him and your sister, consider
socializing with them separately.
If other family members with
children invite them to anything
other than an adults-only gather-
ings, Sissy and her hubby should
politely offer their regrets.
Dear Abby: I have a class
reunion coming up and want some
advice on how to stop a fellow
classmate from giving a religious
sermon. I don’t want to hurt his
feelings, but after the last reunion,
several people complained about
his lengthy preaching. I’m afraid
if it happens again, some people
have kids. He just told my hus-
band that what he doesn’t like
about our family gatherings is
the attention everyone shows my
two granddaughters. (They are
7 and 8.) At a recent gathering,
he actually threw down game
pieces and stomped off when they
approached. Should I sever con-
tact with my sister and him? I
know if I tell my son about this,
my son will cut ties with them.
What parent forces their chil-
dren on anyone who doesn’t like
them? Your advice might help. —
Family Gal In Alabama
Dear Family Gal: Not
everyone relates well to kids.
That said, your brother-in-law’s
behavior was appalling. Have
Physics Nobel rewards work on climate change, other forces
Manabe’s models from 50
years ago “accurately pre-
dicted the warming that actu-
ally occurred in the following
decades,” said climate scientist
Zeke Hausfather of the Break-
through Institute. Manabe’s work
serves “as a warning to us all that
we should take their projections of
a much warmer future if we keep
emitting carbon dioxide quite
seriously.”
“I never imagined that this
thing I would begin to study
has such a huge consequence,”
Manabe said at a Princeton news
conference. “I was doing it just
because of my curiosity.”
About a decade after Manabe’s
initial work, Hasselmann, of the
Max Planck Institute for Mete-
orology in Hamburg, Germany,
helped explain why climate
models can be reliable despite the
seemingly chaotic nature of the
weather. He also developed ways
to look for specific signs of human
influence on the climate.
Meanwhile, Parisi, of Sapi-
enza University of Rome, “built
a deep physical and mathemat-
ical model” that made it possible
to understand complex systems
in fields as different as mathe-
matics, biology, neuroscience and
machine learning.
His work originally focused
on so-called spin glass, a type
of metal alloy whose behavior
long baffled scientists. Parisi,
73, discovered hidden patterns
that explained the way it acted,
creating theories that could be
applied to other fields of research,
too.
All three physicists used com-
plex mathematics to explain and
predict what seemed like chaotic
forces of nature. That is known as
modeling.
“Physics-based climate
models made it possible to pre-
dict the amount and pace of global
The Associated Press
STOCKHOLM — Three sci-
entists won the Nobel Prize in
physics Tuesday, Oct. 5, for work
that found order in seeming dis-
order, helping to explain and pre-
dict complex forces of nature,
including expanding our under-
standing of climate change.
Syukuro Manabe, originally
from Japan, and Klaus Hassel-
mann of Germany were cited for
their work in developing fore-
cast models of Earth’s climate
and “reliably predicting global
warming.” The second half of
the prize went to Giorgio Parisi
of Italy for explaining disorder in
physical systems, ranging from
those as small as the insides of
atoms to the planet-sized.
Hasselmann told The Associ-
ated Press that he “would rather
have no global warming and no
Nobel Prize.’’
Manabe said that figuring out
the physics behind climate change
was “1,000 times” easier than get-
ting the world to do something
about it. He said the intricacies of
policy and society are far harder
to fathom than the complexi-
ties of carbon dioxide interacting
with the atmosphere, which then
changes conditions in the ocean
and on the land, which then alters
the air again in a constant cycle.
He called climate change “a
major crisis.”
The prize comes less than
four weeks before the start of
high-level climate negotiations in
Glasgow, Scotland, where world
leaders will be asked to ramp up
their commitments to curb global
warming.
Pontus Lundahl/The Associated Press
Secretary General of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences Goran Hansson, cen-
ter, flanked at left by member of the Nobel Committee for Physics Thors Hans Hans-
son, left, and member of the Nobel Committee for Physics John Wettlaufer, right,
announces the winners of the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics at the Royal Swedish
Academy of Sciences, in Stockholm, Sweden, Tuesday, Oct. 5, 2021. The Nobel Prize
for physics has been awarded to scientists from Japan, Germany and Italy. Syukuro
Manabe and Klaus Hasselmann were cited for their work in “the physical modeling
of Earth’s climate, quantifying variability and reliably predicting global warming.”
“It’s very urgent that we take
very strong decisions and move
at a very strong pace” in tackling
global warming, Parisi said. He
made the appeal even though his
share of the prize was for work in
a different area of physics.
All three scientists work on
what are known as “complex sys-
tems,” of which climate is just one
example. But the prize went to
two fields of study that are oppo-
site in many ways, though they
share the goal of making sense of
what seems random and chaotic
so that it can be predicted.
Parisi’s research largely centers
around subatomic particles, pre-
dicting how they move in seem-
ingly chaotic ways and why, and
is somewhat esoteric, while the
work by Manabe and Hasselmann
is about large-scale global forces
that shape our daily lives.
The judges said Manabe, 90,
and Hasselmann, 89, “laid the
Call to action
The Nobel-winning scientists
used their moment in the limelight
to urge action.
weather
| Go to AccuWeather.com
foundation of our knowledge
of the Earth’s climate and how
human actions influence it.”
Starting in the 1960s, Manabe,
now based at Princeton Uni-
versity, created the first climate
models that forecast what would
happen as carbon dioxide built up
in the atmosphere.
Scientists for decades had
shown that carbon dioxide traps
heat, but Manabe’s work offered
specifics. It allowed scientists
to eventually show how climate
change will worsen and how fast,
depending on how much carbon
pollution is spewed.
Manabe is such a pioneer that
other climate scientists called his
1967 paper with the late Richard
Wetherald “the most influential cli-
mate paper ever,” said NASA chief
climate modeler Gavin Schmidt.
Manabe’s Princeton colleague
Tom Delworth called Manabe “the
Michael Jordan of climate.”
Astoria
Longview
43/58
St. Helens
Vancouver
43/62
Hood River
41/65
Condon
41/66
45/62
39/61
FRI
SAT
SUN
MON
Partly sunny
Clouds and
limited sun
Cloudy and
cooler
A p.m. shower
possible
62 31
57 28
49 25
Eugene
40/64
La Grande
29 63 29
Comfort Index™
Enterprise
9
8
5
0
62 36
52 31
46 29
8
2
0
8
29 59 25
Comfort Index™
5
53 27
41 30
7
2
0
5
ALMANAC
NATION (for the 48 contiguous states)
High Tuesday
Low Tuesday
High: 97°
Low: 18°
Wettest: 3.75”
79°
39°
81°
42°
81°
36°
PRECIPITATION (inches)
Tuesday
Month to date
Normal month to date
Year to date
Normal year to date
0.00
0.00
0.08
3.58
6.94
0.00
Trace
0.16
7.38
12.16
0.00
0.00
0.22
16.41
17.09
HAY INFORMATION FRIDAY
35%
NW at 4 to 8 mph
6.3
0.08
RESERVOIR STORAGE (through midnight Wednesday)
Phillips Reservoir
Unity Reservoir
Owyhee Reservoir
McKay Reservoir
Wallowa Lake
Thief Valley Reservoir
N.A.
9% of capacity
10% of capacity
25% of capacity
1% of capacity
0% of capacity
High: 81°
Low: 28°
Wettest: 0.48”
Rome
Lakeview
North Bend
On Oct. 7, 1902, a waterspout was spotted
off Cape May, N.J. When the fi rst chilly air
masses of fall cross warm bodies of water,
waterspouts form.
SUN & MOON
THU.
Sunrise
Sunset
Moonrise
Moonset
6:58 a.m.
6:21 p.m.
8:21 a.m.
7:17 p.m.
524 cfs
0 cfs
16 cfs
44 cfs
51 cfs
N.A.
First
Oct 12
Full
Oct 20
Last
Oct 28
Beaver Marsh
41/63
Silver Lake
FRI.
6:59 a.m.
6:19 p.m.
9:42 a.m.
7:45 p.m.
New
Nov 4
Jordan Valley
41/58
Paisley
30/61
29/56
Frenchglen
38/62
41/66
City
Astoria
Bend
Boise
Brookings
Burns
Coos Bay
Corvallis
Council
Elgin
Eugene
Hermiston
Hood River
Imnaha
John Day
Joseph
Kennewick
Klamath Falls
Lakeview
SAT.
Hi/Lo/W
58/48/c
60/31/pc
62/41/c
60/46/c
62/23/pc
60/45/c
63/41/pc
63/33/c
61/28/pc
64/44/pc
66/39/s
65/45/c
63/33/pc
61/30/pc
58/26/sh
65/36/s
60/29/pc
61/20/pc
Hi/Lo/W
59/51/c
62/37/c
63/42/pc
61/47/pc
63/25/pc
65/48/pc
63/48/c
65/31/s
60/36/c
64/49/c
67/50/c
63/50/c
64/39/c
60/36/c
57/35/pc
68/51/pc
62/30/pc
61/23/pc
Grand View
Arock
46/61
41/63
39/62
Klamath Falls
31/60
Lakeview
29/61
McDermitt
Shown is Friday’s weather. Temperatures are Thursday night’s lows and Friday’s highs.
FRI.
Diamond
36/59
Fields
Medford
Brookings
Boise
49/62
39/67
46/60
37/66
26/60
Chiloquin
Grants Pass
Juntura
33/62
30/58
25/55
Roseburg
Ontario
45/67
Burns
Brothers
38/62
Coos Bay
Huntington
31/58
34/60
Oakridge
Council
41/63
43/65
Seneca
39/60
RECREATION FORECAST FRIDAY
REGIONAL CITIES
MOON PHASES
STREAM FLOWS (through midnight Tuesday)
Grande Ronde at Troy
Thief Valley Reservoir near North Powder
Burnt River near Unity
Umatilla River near Gibbon
Minam River at Minam
Powder River near Richland
OREGON
WEATHER HISTORY
AGRICULTURAL INFO.
Lowest relative humidity
Afternoon wind
Hours of sunshine
Evapotranspiration
Cotulla, Texas
Yellowstone N.P., Wyo.
Monroe, Ga.
36/61
33/62
Bend
44/64
34/64
32/63
John Day
31/61
Sisters
Elkton
Powers
Halfway
Granite
30/57
Baker City
Florence
44/60
TUESDAY EXTREMES
TEMPERATURES Baker City La Grande Elgin
Monument
34/62
Redmond
43/56
43/60
Comfort Index takes into account how the weather will feel based on a combination of factors. A rating of 10 feels
very comfortable while a rating of 0 feels very uncomfortable.
29/63
36/61
42/61
Corvallis
Enterprise
29/59
38/63
Newport
40/63
58 32
29/61
La Grande
38/59
39/64
Idanha
Salem
Mostly cloudy
and cold
9
Elgin
Pendleton
The Dalles
Portland
Newberg
Lewiston
40/65
40/62
36/62
TONIGHT
5
Forecasts and graphics provided
by AccuWeather, Inc. ©2021
Walla Walla
36/65
Maupin
Comfort Index™
For a scientist who trades in
predictions, Hasselmann said the
prize caught him off guard.
“I was quite surprised when
they called,” he said. “I mean, this
is something I did many years
ago.”
The award comes with a gold
medal and 10 million Swedish
kronor (over $1.14 million). The
money comes from a bequest left
by the prize’s creator, Swedish
inventor Alfred Nobel, who died
in 1895.
On Monday, the Nobel in med-
icine was awarded to Americans
David Julius and Ardem Patapou-
tian for their discoveries into how
the human body perceives tem-
perature and touch.
Over the coming days prizes
will be awarded in the fields of
chemistry, literature, peace and
economics.
Kennewick
42/62
42/62
40/60
32 63 28
Caught off guard
AROUND OREGON AND THE REGION
TIllamook
Baker City
warming, including some of the
consequences like rising seas,
increased extreme rainfall events
and stronger hurricanes, decades
before they could be observed,”
said German climate scientist and
modeler Stefan Rahmstorf. He
called Hasselmann and Manabe
pioneers in this field.
When climate scientists with
the United Nations’ Intergovern-
mental Panel on Climate Change
and former U.S. Vice President Al
Gore won the 2007 Nobel Peace
Prize, some who deny global
warming dismissed it as a polit-
ical move. Perhaps anticipating
controversy, members of the
Swedish Academy of Sciences,
which awards the Nobel, empha-
sized that Tuesday’s was a science
prize.
“What we are saying is that
the modeling of climate is sol-
idly based on physical theory and
well-known physics,” Swedish
physicist Thors Hans Hansson
said at the announcement.
Curiosity rules
By DAVID KEYTON
and SETH BORENSTEIN
City
Lewiston
Longview
Meacham
Medford
Newport
Olympia
Ontario
Pasco
Pendleton
Portland
Powers
Redmond
Roseburg
Salem
Spokane
The Dalles
Ukiah
Walla Walla
FRI.
SAT.
Hi/Lo/W
65/39/pc
62/45/pc
61/27/pc
66/40/pc
56/46/c
58/45/pc
67/39/c
65/39/s
62/38/s
62/47/pc
64/46/c
61/30/c
63/44/c
61/45/pc
58/37/s
66/42/pc
59/27/s
62/43/s
Hi/Lo/W
66/47/c
58/51/c
60/36/pc
69/43/pc
59/48/pc
57/48/c
66/36/pc
68/50/pc
65/46/pc
61/52/c
66/48/c
63/36/c
67/47/c
64/51/c
57/43/c
66/47/c
59/34/pc
63/52/pc
Weather(W): s-sunny, pc-partly cloudy, c-cloudy, sh-showers, t-thunderstorms, r-rain,
sf-snow fl urries, sn-snow, i-ice
ANTHONY LAKES
PHILLIPS LAKE
Rain and sleet
A shower
39
21
59
27
MT. EMILY REC.
BROWNLEE RES.
Some sun; chilly
Mostly cloudy
48
26
66
34
EAGLE CAP WILD.
EMIGRANT ST. PARK
Showers around
Partly sunny
46
19
55
23
WALLOWA LAKE
MCKAY RESERVOIR
A few showers
Mostly sunny; cool
58
26
60
38
THIEF VALLEY RES.
RED BRIDGE ST. PARK
Partly sunny
Partly sunny
63
28
63
29