STATE 6A — THE OBSERVER TUESDAY, MAY 25, 2021 Voters to decide whether health care is a right in Oregon Passage could force legislators to put health care spending ahead of other needs By PETER WONG Oregon Capital Bureau SALEM — Mitch Greenlick may achieve in death what he was unable to do during his 17 years in the Oregon House. A vote in the House cleared the way for Oregon voters to decide in November 2022 whether health care should be considered a right in the Oregon Constitution. The House passed Senate Joint Resolution 12 on a 34-23 vote along party lines on Wednesday, May 19. The resolution does not require the governor’s signature. Greenlick, a Democrat from Portland, was in his ninth and fi nal term when he died a year ago at age 85. As leader or co-leader of the House Health Care Committee for more than six cycles, going back to 2007, he sponsored and the House passed similar res- olutions four times. All of them died in the Senate, although his fi nal attempt had reached the full Senate before the Legislature abruptly adjourned its 2020 regular session after Republican walkouts. “This is not the fi rst version of this that you tried,” Rep. Rob Nosse, a Democrat from Port- land who joined the Health Care Committee upon his appointment to the House in 2015, said during the debate. “Passage of this reso- lution and hoped-for pas- sage on the ballot in the fall of 2022 is an awesome legacy to your work. Each of us knows that access to quality and aff ord- able health care is a basic human need for all the people of this state. It is a need that is worthy of being a right in our state Constitution.” Nosse was the lead House sponsor and Sen. Elizabeth Steiner Hay- ward, D-Beaverton, was the lead Senate sponsor. Her district includes Greenlick’s former dis- trict in Northwest Port- land and northeast Wash- Alex Wittwer/The Observer, File A stack of ballots sits in the Union County Clerk’s Offi ce, La Grande, as workers count the ballots for the special election Tuesday, May 18, 2021. Oregon voters can decide in November 2022 on a ballot mea- sure that would change the state constitution to make health care a fundamental right. ington County. Greenlick came to Oregon in 1964 to start and later direct the Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research. He became a vice president of Kaiser Foundation Hos- pital in 1981. He became a professor and chairman of public health and preven- tive medicine at Oregon Health & Science Univer- sity from 1990 until he was elected to the House in 2002. The proposed consti- tutional amendment also says this: “The obligation of the state … must be bal- anced against the public interest in funding public schools and other essen- tial public services, and any remedy arising from an action brought against the state to enforce the provisions of this section may not interfere with the balance described in this subsection.” Rep. Andrea Salinas, D-Lake Oswego, said the amendment would not compel legislators to sup- port health care spending at the expense of state aid to public schools and other state services. “The resolution is in no way prescriptive in how the Legislature gets from here to there,” Salinas said. But Rep. Cedric Hayden of Lowell, the top Republican on the Health Care Committee, said he believes the constitu- tional amendment would open state government to lawsuits. “It is no longer some- thing that every resident of Oregon would have no right of action — they do,” Hayden, a dental sur- geon, said. “It is no longer something that would not put pressure on all of our other budgets. “I do not believe that our schools, our students and our parents have a private right of action to sue the state to make sure their school gets funded appropriately. If people feel that public safety in their county or city is not up to a standard that it should be, they do not have a private right of action to sue the state that it is funded.” He estimated it would cost up to $4 billion for state-supported insur- ance coverage to reach everyone under the Oregon Health Plan, which is jointly funded by federal and state governments. Oregon’s uninsured adults are estimated at 6% of the population. Most children are now covered. House Republican Leader Christine Drazan of Canby said passage of the constitutional amend- ment could compel legis- lators to put health care spending ahead of other programs. “Either this is aspira- tional — and we should vote on it today as such, but not send it to voters to enshrine it in our Consti- tution — or it is an obliga- tion of the state,” she said. “If it is an obligation of the state and does nothing and costs us nothing, there is no value in it. “Be prepared to say no to other things, because otherwise it is pointless.” Oregon revenue forecast: State coff ers and ‘kicker’ to surge Taxpayers getting back total of $1.4 billion in credits against 2021 tax bills By PETER WONG Oregon Capital Bureau SALEM — For Oregon’s state budget, and for Oregon taxpayers, it appears every- thing’s coming up roses these days. An economic surge as the coronavirus pandemic wanes will produce $1 bil- lion more for state coff ers than state economists pro- jected just three months ago. That will be enough to boost state spending, without cuts, as lawmakers fi nish work on the state budget for the next two years. Meanwhile, that surge will result in an estimated $1.4 billion — more than twice the amount projected back on Feb. 24 — going back to taxpayers next year in the form of “kicker” credits against their 2021 tax bills. The fi nal fi gure will be determined in the September economic and revenue forecast, but the share of tax liability is pro- jected at 13.6%. For the average taxpayer with a household income of $67,400, the credit will be $636. For the median with household income between $35,000 and $40,000 — half are above and half below that range — the credit will be $312. “I have never seen such a strong outlook,” State Econ- omist Mark McMullen told members of the House and Senate revenue committees during his quarterly fore- cast on Wednesday, May 20. “There are a whole lot more resources avail- able than when we last reported in March, and even more than we reported at the beginning of the ses- sion, when the budget was drafted. It’s quite a remark- able turnaround from a few months ago. “When the pandemic hit, we saw these massive job losses that blew a $2 billion hole in the budget. That hole was fi lled by the March forecast (on Feb. 24), and now we are past where we thought we would be even pre-pandemic.” Gov. Kate Brown pro- posed $25.6 billion in spending from the tax-sup- ported general fund and lot- tery proceeds, the state’s two most fl exible sources, back on Dec. 1. Legisla- tive budget writers, bol- stered by $2.6 billion in fed- eral aid from President Joe Biden’s pandemic recovery plan, unveiled a framework for almost $28 billion in spending on March 24. Brown said in a state- ment that the latest forecast, coupled with projections for the following two budget cycles, sets the stage for a better Oregon: “Our anticipated state revenues will allow us to fully fund our state agency base budgets, make invest- ments prioritized by the Racial Justice Council, move forward with a $9.3 billion school budget, fully fund the Student Success Act, and ensure no one is kicked off the Oregon Health Plan, among other things. “These investments will help Oregonians recover from the COVID-19 pan- demic and move Oregon toward a future where equity is realized and all are equal.” Some Democrats want to spend more; Republi- cans say spending should focus on one-time purposes. Budget writers have already proposed to save some of the federal aid for the 2023-25 budget period. Senior economist Josh Lehner said what has helped prop up the economy in Oregon and other states is the massive federal spending during the pan- demic, including payments to individuals and busi- nesses. Biden’s plan gave $1,400 payments to an esti- mated 95% of Oregonians. “It has been unprece- dented outside of wartime,” Lehner said. “It has allowed households and fi rms to keep their heads above water. It does not mean that some people haven’t fallen through the cracks — they have — and some busi- nesses have closed.” McMullen said econ- omists have not seen the steep downturn triggered by the onset of the pan- demic — Oregon’s unem- ployment rate went from a modern-low 3.5% in March 2020 to a modern-high 13.2% the following month — and the equally speedy recovery. The April 2021 rate was 6%; it has hovered around that mark for a few months. McMullen said he still projects it will be the fourth quarter of 2022 before Oregon returns to its pre-pandemic employ- ment levels, still shorter than the seven years fol- lowing downturns in 1980 and 2007. “Obviously, a lot of things can happen in two years,” he said. “But right now we are on a pretty strong footing. The con- sensus (of economists) ranges from good to great.” McMullen said the amount of the projected kicker could change, given that Oregon tax fi lings just closed May 17, a month later than usual because of the pandemic. It would not be the largest since the kicker was created in 1979 and put into the Oregon Constitution in 2000; $1.1 billion was rebated in 2007 and $1.7 billion in 2019, both just before Ore- gon’s economy took sharp nosedives. Oregon offi cials bet lott ery will boost COVID-19 shots By ANDREW SELSKY Associated Press SALEM — Oregon offi - cials are betting that the desire to win $1 million in a lottery will boost the per- centage of Oregonians who are vaccinated against the coronavirus. With only half of the people living in Oregon either fully or partially vac- cinated, Oregon Lottery offi cials approved a plan Friday to hold a lottery. Those who have been vac- cinated by June 27 will be eligible. “It’s never been easier to get a vaccine, so don’t miss your shot to enter,” Gov. Kate Brown said. She told reporters this is an eff ort to raise the per- centage of adult Orego- nians who get vaccinated to 70% in order to fully reopen the state. The Oregon Health Authority reported 50% of Oregonians are vaccinated, with 39% having com- pleted the series and 11% in progress. If Oregonians have received at least a fi rst dose of Pfi zer, Moderna or Johnson & Johnson, they are automatically entered to win through the state’s vaccine database. Brown, responding to a question at a Zoom news conference, said people who are in Oregon illegally and have been vaccinated also are eligible to win the prize. Other states also are YouTube/Screenshot Oregon Gov. Kate Brown speaks Friday, May 21, 2021, to announce the state’s new $1 million in a lottery for those who are vaccinated against the coronavirus. About half of the people living in Oregon are either fully or partially vaccinated. trying the tactic, including New York, Maryland and Ohio. Oregon ranks 19th in the nation in percentage of people who have received one dose, said Pat Allen, director of the Oregon Health Authority. Oregon is on track to having 70% of its residents being vac- cinated by the end of June, Allen said. The Oregon campaign is funded with $1.86 mil- lion in federal pandemic relief and is a collaboration between the Oregon Health Authority and the Oregon Lottery. Oregonians 18 and older will have the chance to win $1 million or one of 36 $10,000 prizes, with one winner in each county. Res- idents age 12 to 17 will have a chance to win one of fi ve $100,000 Oregon College Savings Plan scholarships. The drawing will take place June 28. EASTERN OREGON 2021 PHOTO CONTEST Official Rules: Photo Contest open now and closes at 11:59 pm Sunday, June 20, 2021. Staff will choose the top 10. The public can vote online for People’s Choice from 12:01 am Monday, June 21 through 11:59 pm Thursday, June 30. Digital or scanned photos only, uploaded to the online platform. No physical copies. Only photographers from Oregon may participate. The contest subject matter is wide open but we’re looking for images that capture life in Eastern Oregon. Submit all photos online at: Entrants may crop, tone, adjust saturation and make minor enhancements, but may not add or remove objects within the frame, or doctor images such that the final product doesn’t represent what’s actually before the camera. The winners will appear in the July 8th edition of Go Magazine; the top 25 will appear online. Gift cards to a restaurant of your choice will be awarded for first, second and third place. lagrandeobserver.com/photocontest