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The Oregon Student Assistance Commission doles out $40 million dollars every biennium to low-in come students in the form of Ore gon Opportunity Grants, but the latest budget plan will cut $2.23 million in grant money, which OSAC spokesman Gene Evans es timates will impact at least 2,000 Oregon students. “We know that it’s going to mean fewer students getting op portunity grants,” Evans said. The commission helps students receive both private and public funding, but 84 percent of the students it services rely on public money. More than 1,900 University stu dents receive the grants, which offer students $1,254 a year for public universities in Oregon. Evans said that as many as 4,000 more students may be affected in directly by the Legislature’s budg et. OSAC gets roughly $6 million in interest payments from the Edu cation Endowment Fund, but with the Legislature’s latest initiative that asks voters to use $220 million of the money to fund K-12 educa tion, those interest payments will all but disappear. State Board of Higher Educa tion student representative Tim Young said students cannot af ford to lose their scholarship money. “This cut strikes at the heart of student access,” he said. “Reduc ing the Oregon Endowment Fund will have a long-term effect on scholarship programs.” But Evans acknowledged the cuts must come from somewhere. . “There’s nobody who isn’t in this boat,” he said. “There are no good choices to be made.” Students must come from a household that makes less than $38,000 a year to be eligible for the grants, or $7,400 a year if they’re on their own. Evans said OSAC will process students on a first come, first-serve basis, and expects the money to go fast. Last year 127,000 Oregon Students filed a Free Application for Federal Stu dent Aid. This year, the number is expected to top 140,000. “This is a tough time for stu dents in Oregon,” he said. E-mail reporter Brook Reinhard at brookreinhard@dailyemerald.com. Greenspan says United States may be heading toward economic recovery By Robert Manor Chicago Tribune (KRT) — Amid a shower of surprisingly good news, the nor mally taciturn Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said Thursday that the nation is en route to economic recovery. “The recent evidence increas ingly suggests that an economic expansion is already well under way,” Greenspan told the Senate Banking Committee, in unusually direct language. He sounded a more optimistic note Thursday than during his testimony before the House Financial Services Com mittee last week. “It is unmitigated good news,” said Sherry Cooper, global eco nomic strategist for the Bank of Montreal. “Greenspan has gone from saying ‘There will be a recov ery’ to saying ‘This is a recovery.’” If Greenspan is right, then the United States is pulling out of the mildest economic downturn since World War II. For example, the Labor Depart ment said new claims for unem ployment benefits over the past month fell to 372,750. That is the lowest level since mid-August. At the same time, worker pro ductivity grew at a 5.2 percent rate in the final quarter of last year, much higher than the initial estimate of 3.5 percent. Rising productivity typically translates into economic growth, higher wages and corporate profits with out inflation. And manufacturing, in a deep recession for two years, is showing signs of vigor. The nation’s jobless rate is to be released Friday, and in his testimony Greenspan did not al ter the Fed’s forecast that unem ployment could peak at 6 per cent to 6.5 percent. Cooper doesn’t believe it will rise that high. “But if it happens, it would be very short-lived,” she said, as a healthier economy cre ates jobs for displaced workers. In any case, unemployment is a lagging indicator — it shows where the economy was, not where it is heading. Businesses often are reluctant to hire new workers at the end of a recession, so unemployment can rise for a time even after the economy be gins to strengthen. “Greenspan has gone from saying ‘There will be a recovery’ to saying ‘This is a recovery.’” Sherry Cooper global economist The Federal Reserve cut interest rates 11 times last year, bringing them to a 40-year low in an effort to revive the economy. This al lowed homeowners to refinance mortgages and save money, cut the price of most other loans, and even allowed automakers to make loans at zero percent interest. The good news on interest rates appears to be over, economists say, as the Fed worries more about in flation than about economic weak ness. The Fed raises interest rates when inflation is a threat, to slow the economy. “The next move is likely to be higher,” said Paul Kasriel, chief economist of Chicago-based North ern Trust. “I would say that by the end of June or mid-August, they are going to raise rates.” The Fed meets again March 19, and the consensus among economists is that it will hold rates steady. Kasriel said he believes the Fed is too pessimistic about the future unemployment rate. He said that depleted inventories of goods and stronger than expected auto sales all point to better times ahead. “We could very well top out at 5.8 per cent” unemployment, he said. Kasriel said the recession has not been gentle with everyone, however. Businesses bled money for much of last year, with the hemorrhaging increasing after the terrorist attack on Sept. 11. Finan cial reports for the first three months of 2002 will be out shortly, indicating whether corporate America’s losses have eased. I If companies are returning to profitability, or at least losing less money, they likely have the American consumer to thank. Consumer spending makes up about two-thirds of the nation’s economic activity. Consumers continued to buy homes and cars and clothes and a myriad of other goods, despite last year’s weaken ing economy. Greenspan said that strength continues. “Sales have receded somewhat, but they have remained surpris ingly resilient,” he said. “Other consumer spending appears to have advanced at a solid pace in recent months.” But, as is typical for Greenspan’s public utterances, there is a caveat. “The dimensions of the pick up remain uncertain,” he told the senators. © 2002, Chicago Tribune. Distributed by Knight Ridder/Tribune Information services. -J Oregon Daily Emerald P.O. Box 3159, Eugene OR 97403 The Oregon Daily Emerald is published daily Monday through Friday during the school year and Tuesday and Thursday during the summer by the Oregon Daily Emerald Publishing Co. Inc., at the University of Oregon, Eugene, OregonThe Emerald operates independently of the University with offices in Suite 300 of the Erb Memorial Union. The Emerald is private property. The unlawful removal or use of papers is prosecutable by law. 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