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686 I.. 13th at llilvard
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I ■ i<I:i\ 7:00 VM-Midnight
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National
CIA warns that Soviet Union may soon
face internal Communist Party revolution
H\ Brt.in Brumlet
Assoi idled Press
WASHINGTON (AIM A se
nior ('.IA analyst said Moiidat
th.it Soviet President Mtkli.nl S
( aidiat hev might (at e .1 revolt
among i.ink and-file (.oiriinii
nisi parts memlieis but th.it Ins
relorms .ire likeh In survive .1
bat k i.ish
'11 a i'll il there is .1 temporal s
setb.it k I think the prot ess of
lelorm will 11mtitrue Man
X. lot III is III the ( IA S (iff it e ill
Soviet Analysis s.mi in .1 let
lure .it the kenn.m Institute lor
Advaw ed Russian Studies in
U eslnnglnn
I hs remarks ref lei ted .1 gen
ei.il sense nl uut ert .11111 \ among
government and ,11 adernit e\
perts mer the (.nurse of Soviet
pnliliis in the short term after
four tears of often tumultuous
reform suite (.orhai hit t aine
to (tower
Asked to t oinillelll oil ( airlia
diet s own description *»f a
deepening et oiiomii and polite
t al 1 t'isis .lli<i referent e to ru
mors of a conservative coup in
\Inst 11\\ /.lotnik said. Some
spark could st'l llimgs nfl lo
topple tile senior leadership
Hut no one is in ,i position to
pretlic t w lien d will t nine and
w lifthlT It t all lie pill out
(|llli kl\
" The i rises is really serious."
/.lotnik said lint so Jar I
think it is heinn ilia mined pret
!\ well
(airhat hev has solidified Ins
position In eliminating looser
satis e opponents in the ( aim
iniinist Harts anti In strength
emng the role ol the Soviet par
I lament whit h III is \ ear elet t
ed him to a In e \ ear term as
president
Hut the parti and parliainent
mas he on a t ollision t ourse.
/lotnik saitl and "at some
point there is pmiij to lie a
showdown between those who
ssant a traditional role Ini the
ruling < nmmiimsi Harts and
members of parliament who
pot laith in (,oih.it lies s t ail to
transfer power from the parts to
the legislature
Most pat It,ament.u s deputies
are also parts members, said
/.lotnik and for .it least the
next several years thev are like
Iv to obey am dei. is ion bv the
ruling I'olitbnro to dump (lor
bai hev
Although CiOrbai hev so tar
has done a good job of "keep
mg two steps ahead" of his ri
vals s.iid /.lotnik I wonder
whether am politii ian i an
keep outguessing the opposi
lioit time alter time
(lorbai hev. heeding a "sense
of panic” in the party, has re
l ent 1 \ taken a more moderate
view, asking non Russian na
tionalities to curb their drives
for independence and ashing
the legislature to approve .1 I j
month hail on strikes that he
sa\s are disrupting the econo
my and endangering reform
"(lorbai hev has seen the
need to rein in the most radii al
ton es." /.lotiiiIs said ''I don't
think he has changed Ins goals
ot iadii alls transforming Soviet
soi iet\ but he sees a need tor
stoi kt.iking," a respite from the
f rant it pai e ot the last four
\ ears
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