Oregon daily emerald. (Eugene, Or.) 1920-2012, May 02, 1984, Section A, Page 5, Image 5

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    The nuclear war game
Policy analyst presents
case for strategic defense
By Brooks Dareff
Of the Emerald
Some sports analysts insist that a good
defense is the best offense, that defense wins
games.
According to policy analyst Keith Payne, the
development of a great defense could be the only
way to win the biggest game going — avoiding
nuclear obliteration.
"There isn't any way I can see of reducing the
destructiveness of nuclear war outside of strategic
defense,'.' he says.
Executive vice president and director of Na
tional Security Studies at the National Institute for
Public Policy, Payne was on campus this week as
the guest of the Faculty Arms Control Croup. He
specializes in U.S.-Sino strategic and defense
policy, international security affairs and Soviet
foreign policy.
Payne maintains that the current concept of
deterrence is shaky at best and that it is — or
would eventually be — possible to tend off a full
scale barrage of nuclear weapons.
Twenty or thirty years in the making, a fully
developed "multiple tier" system of strategic
defense weapons could theoretically deflect and
intercept, at the least, 9,999 out of 10,000 Soviet
missiles, he says.
And given the Soviets' overall inferiority in
resources and technology, he says, such a
defense should deter the Soviets from firing even
one.
'Deploying strategic defensive
weapons.. .should stabilize deterrence because
it just leads the Soviet Union to be less confident
that it could engage in a successful first strike,"
Payne says.
Payne is dubious of offense-based deterrence,
the idea that the threat of mutual annihilation
makes nuclear war unthinkable to both sides.
"We don't even know if deterrence works,"
he says.
The Soviet Union may doubt U.S. deterrence,
he says, believing the United States would balk at
retaliating to a Soviet strike for fear of setting off
total war.
"The argument is that the Soviets don't
Keith Payne
believe the U.S. deterrent," Payne says.
Payne's multiple tier system apexes in space
— that science fiction strata of speed of light
lasers and hypervelocity guns first brought to
public light just over a year ago in Pres. Reagan's
"star wars speec h."
In the transition stages, the multiple tier
system would accelerate the arms race, requiring
the maintenance of Trident submarines, MX
missiles, a new small intercontinental ballistic
missile and B-1 Bombers, Payne says. But, it would
achieve two of the objectives of arms control:
reducing the threat and the destructiveness of
nuclear war, Payne says.
As for the third, which he identifies as expen
diture, Payne believes the benefits of strategic
defense outweigh the costs.
"Is the United States willing to pay $T0 billion
a year to provide for the defense of the American
population in the event of nuclear war? I think it
probably would."
Frat offers 'half day on the job'
Students in all majors will
have the opportunity to receive
hands-on management and
operational experiences Thurs
day, May 10 in the "Halt Day on
the Job" program.
Sponsored annually by
business fraternity Alpha Kappa
Psi, the program places students
in jobs for a day in areas such as
accounting, real estate, finance,
brokerage, public utility, hotel
management, retail, com
munications, marketing and
economics, says Kimberly Bott.
The program may open
avenues to future employment,
Bott says.
Participating area businesses
include: KVAL, Hewlett Packard,
First Interstate Bank, U.S. Bank,
Merrill Lynch and Eugene
Aircraft.
Students interested in taking
part in the half-day program can
pick up applications in Rooms
217 or 212 Gilbert or the Career
Planning and Placement Center.
A $10 fee, due by Thursday, is
required to pay for dinner at the
Eugene Hilton after the
program.
lor more mtormation, contact
Mark Daniel at 48S-‘)2r>8.
Photo courtesy of DB Records
Love Tractor to play Thursday
Can't you just hear Rod Serling saying:
"Picture it you will Athens, Ga., a reasonably metropolitan town in the heartland of the
South. Add to this picture musical groups like R.E.M., Pylon (now defunct) and The B-52s
who all hail from Athens. But make room for one more, a tour-piece group of young coun
trified psychedelics who go under the engaging name of Love Tractor. Give this group's se
cond record 'Around the Bend' a spin and the uninitiated will at once realize they are
in. . . The Psychedelic Zone."
If you'd like to step into The Psychedelic Zone, Love Tractor will be playing at B.j. Kelly's
Thursday at 9:30 p.m. But come early — Eugene's rockin' grammarians The Los Falcons will
be opening the show. Tickets are $3.
JL
Sports Injuries
& Running Clinic
^ of Eugene. P.C.
Eugene Medical & Professional Center
132 East Broadway, Suite* 830
Eugene, OR 97401 Tel: (503) 683-4703
%
€
jfc
PIZAN'S RESTAURANT
i
25 different kinds of deli sandwiches
c
*
«
*
it
%
«.
it
The best in homemade pies, cheesecakes,
pastas, chili, & other soups
Thursdays & Fridays
Eugene's Best Homemade Clam Chowder
Japanese Sushi on Tuesdays
Pizan's • 1225 Alder St. • 343-9661
Open 9-8 Mon. Tue. Thurs. Fri., 9-11 Wed., 11-4 Sat.
«- vf> Vj>-J* Vj) » vjfr S *> j) s* » * ■» s) & s*> -*> * V# Nf) -* * j) S*) J
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o Stlf SERVE WORd PROCESSilNq
Q • IBM personal computers and featuring... _
• Epson RX-80 printers
0 -Diablo 630 printer Perfect Writer “Software
Breezeway Cafe
for students on their way!
Breeze in — Take out!
Now Featuring:
Soft Serve Frozen Yogurt
Yogurt Sandwiches
PASTRIES muffins, donuts, croissants, etc.
Gourmet Coffee 3o<p CUp
ICE CREAM several flavors
BREAKTIME SPECIAL:
9:00 a.m. - 10:00 a.m.
99$ coffee & chocolate croissant
Breezeway Cafe
formerly Baskin-Robbins
EMU Breezeway
Open 8:00-4:30, Monday thru Friday
mHk
E?
-^c^tve$p<yt6suA€a?C
6 30 pm, Friday, May 4th
Atrium Bldg., 10th tOuvE
AnoL__._
40-50-60% OFF SALE
_ . . . May 4th * 5th
hSuxiouj, Nufht Special*- —
6-6-30 PM -• 40% OFF NYLON TAFFETAS
T-8-OOPM *. 50% OFF NYLON WEfc&lNGS
atr\d 60% OFF VELCRO