Oregon daily emerald. (Eugene, Or.) 1920-2012, January 07, 1983, Page 4, Image 4

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As a member of the Y, you can
drop in and swim laps before
work, take a class on your lunch
hour, or lift weights and relax in
the sauna after school. Meet your
family and friends at the Y and
have fun making Fitness a part of
your lifestyle for 1983
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Soviet bioc offer* »
ne9otiation& peace p/an*
"S on Military act/";
PRAGUE, Czechoslovakia (AP) — The Soviet
bloc unveiled an encyclopedic package of peace
proposals Thursday calling for an East-West
non-aggression treaty and negotiations on vir
tually every phase of military activity
Warning that the threat of nuclear war is
increasing and that mankind would not survive
one, the 24-page declaration adopted by the
Warsaw Pact’s biennial summit conference Wed
nesday said:
‘The Warsaw Treaty member states are not
seeking military superiority over the NATO states
and have no intention to attack these states or any
other country in or outside Europe
"NATO member states also declare that they
have no aggressive intentions. In these condi
tions there should be no reasons preventing the
member states of either alliance to undertake
corresponding mutual commitments of the inter
national law character."
The declaration appeared to contain no
proposals that had not been made at one time or
another in the past But it wrapped up a com
prehensive package of Communist ideas for
lowering military tension.
Its keystone proposal for a non-aggression
pact, first made by the Warsaw group in 1958 and
rejected then by the North Atlantic Treaty Organ
ization, called for the two rival alliances to "con
clude a treaty on the mutual non-use of military
force and on the maintenance of relations of
peace.”
"The core of the treaty,” the declaration
continued, "could be the mutual commitment of
the member states of both alliances not to be the
first to use either nuclear or conventional
weapons against each other and therefore not to
be the first to use against each other any military
force at all."
It said the treaty should also include a com
mitment not to use force against countries out
side the two alliances, that other "interested"
European nations could participate in the drafting
and could sign it, and that all other nations of the
world could adhere as equal parties.
The first reaction from the United States was
cautious
Pres Ronald Reagan, speaking to a news
conference Wednesday night before the full
declaration was made public, said the proposal
for a mutual renunciation of force deserved
consideration But State Department spokesman
John Hughes said, “At first glance, it does not
seem to represent anything new.”
Government predicts slow recovery
WASHINGTON (AP) - In an
uncommonly pessimistic out
look for 1983, the Reagan ad
ministration is predicting the
slowest recovery from a reces
sion since World War II, with
unemployment remaining
above 10 percent
The still-internal forecast,
confirmed Thursday by admin
istration sources, is more bear
ish than nearly all the major
private forecasting firms and
marks a complete reversal from
the administration s decidedly
optimistic — but wrong — econ
omic predictions of the prior two
years
In 1981 and 1982, the Reagan
administration had been
ridiculed by private economists
and the financial community for
making rosy predictions beyond
the range of reasonable expec
tation This time, Pres Ronald
Reagan s new chief economist,
Martin Feldstein, has insisted
that the administration issue an
honest forecast to regain its
economic credibility
The new forecast, prepared
as part of the fiscal 1984 budget
plan Reagan will send Congress
Jan 31, predicts the economy —
after adjusting for inflation —
will grow at an anemic rate of
only 1.4 percent on average for
all of 1983, compared with 1982
First-year recoveries from the
previous seven post-war reces
sions typically have shown
growth rates of 4 percent or
more
Because economic growth is
expected to be so slow, unem
ployment is predicted to decline
only slightly from its current
level, now at a 42-year high of
10 8 percent
At his news conference Wed
nesday night, Reagan said the
economy "is getting better, not
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-on the Mail
343 1288
Mon - Fri: 9 - 5:30
Sat 9 - 5 . Sun 12 5
getting worse,1' but he conced
ed unemployment would be
slow to recede
According to the forecast, the
jobless rate will remain above 10
percent by the fall of 1983 and
above 9 percent in the fall of
1984, when Reagan will be fac
ing re-election should he decide
to seek a second term
Reagan, who took office
when the unemployment rate
was 7.4 percent, had cam
paigned for the presidency
promising to create jobs. In
stead, the country has been in a
severe recession throughout
most of his presidency
The economic outlook sug
gests the administration has
abandoned its promise that it
can promote strong economic
growth, lower unemployment,
keep inflation down and
balance the budget at the same
time, as its 1981-82 forecasts
AFL-CIO against
state sales tax
COOS BAY (AP) - The
Oregon AFL-CIO adamantly op
poses a state sales tax as help
ing businesses at the expense
of working people, the state
president of the labor group
says
In an interview with The World
newspaper in Coos Bay, Irv
Fletcher said, ‘ Business and
industry are pushing the sales
tax because It would shift their
tax burden (of property taxes) to
working people (through pur
chases)
"We won't support it "
Fletcher also discussed other
issues during the interview
Monday He said the AFL-CIO
would like to see the income tax
rate made "more progressive"
by taxing higher-income people
at a higher rate
He indicated some support
tor a plan by House Speaker
elect Qrattan Kerans. D
Eugene, which would use the
governor's $459 million in
Homeowners and Renters
Relief to balance all 1983-85
spending
"We established property tax
relief when there was a $500
million surplus in the state bud
get," Fletcher said. "The sur
plus is gone It only makes
sense to us that you can t spend
money you don’t have."