Both parties claim voters will favor them
WASHINGTON (AP) - While
Democrats claimed the trend was their way,
Republicans predicted Sunday that the
GOP's off-year election strategy will
succeed Tuesday in keeping Congress on
Pres Ronald Reagan's course
Democratic campaign advertisements
said Reagan's course is a curse for the
nation s 11 million unemployed and a blind
alley for the economy But Republican
spokesmen, including Reagan himself,
urged patience
The off-year balloting will award 33
seats in the Republican Senate, all 435 in
the Democratic House Thirty-six states are
electing governors — and the Democrats
are looking for a significant gain Legisla
tors are being chosen in 46 states
enough closely contested Senate races to
put control within the pollsters' margin of
error
In a CBS-TV interview. Sen Wendell
Ford, D-Ky , chairman of the Senate
Democratic Campaign Committee, said the
Republicans had backed off early season
optimism and are "holding on by their
fingertips" to the Senate they won two years
ago
But Sen Bob Dole. R-Kans . said the
GOP would break better than even in
Tuesday's Senate elections "I think we re
going to retain our strength in the Senate
and probably pick up a couple of seats," he
said
Former Democratic National Chairman
loses the Senate, it's going to be interpreted
as his responsibility." said Dole "If there's a
big change, it's going to be interpreted by
some as a repudiation of what he has been
trying to do and he's going to be a lame
duck president."
Reagan, in windup campaign
statements, said his economic program has
had only a 13-month trial, is producing signs
of recovery now, and deserves more time
Former Pres Gerald Ford went
campaigning for Illinois Republicans during
the weekend, and said "just because we are
in a current, short-term economic problem
they shouldn't throw up their hands and
leave the ship "
Democrats pressed their contention
that the administration economic
Reagan drummed his economic
theme in a campaign commercial
televised nationally and repeated in
60 major cities through the weekend
to election eve. He said he has
charted the way out of the recession,
and all the Democrats offer is old
big-government solutions that will not
work
"I am counting on you to cast
your votes for hope, not despair — for
responsible men and women who are
pledged to help us, not hinder us on
the road to recovery,” he said
Television interview programs
were the forum for Sunday's political
“If we take a bath, if he
(Reagan) loses 25 to 30
House seats and he loses
the Senate, it’s going to be
interpreted as his respon
sibility,” said Sen. Bob
Dole, R-Kans.
course doesn't bode well tor
Americans dependent on the troubled
Social Security program The
president called that a scare tactic
Pollster Caddell said unem
ployment and Social Security are
major issues, both boosting the
Democrats I think the president has
nationalized this election, he said
Social Security came up in state
attei state When Sen John Chafee s
Democratic challenger in Rhode
Island said Social Security benefits
are at risk, Chafee called it "typical of
the Halloween campaign tactics he
has used throughout this season."
The Donato o I a ** t i rt n c wore fr\r
I think the Democrats probably are
going to win a significant victory,” said
Democratic pollster Patrick Caddell,
interviewed on ABC-TV ". . I think in the
end we re going to see a break toward the
Democrats "
Caddell forecast a Democratic gain of
25 to 30 seats in the House, where there are
now 242 Democrats and 191 Republicans
But Richard Wirthlin, who does his
polling for Republican candidates and the
White House, said he saw no sign of a late
Democratic surge He said the Republicans
probably will lose 20 to 24 House seats, hold
control in the Senate, and drop a half-dozen
governorships to the Democrats
The White House party almost invaria
bly loses seats in Congress in off-year
elections Since World War II, the average
loss in the first mid-term balloting of a
newly-elected president has been 19 House
seats
Republicans now control the Senate
with 54 votes Caddell said there are
Robert Strauss said on ABC that Democrats
would gain at least 22 to 24 House seats,
and would come awfully close" to over
turning the Republican margin in the
Senate
Lyn Nofziger, former political aide to
Reagan, said he looked for the Democrats
to gain 20 to 25 seats in the House
Rep Guy Vander Jagt of Michigan,
chairman of the Republican Congressional
campaign committee, was the ranking GOP
optimist in Sunday's numbers game
Vander Jagt said in an NBC-TV interview
that he wasn't conceding any Republican
House losses He said the GOP might even
gain a few seats Since the Civil War, the
White House party has lost seats in every
off-year election but one, the Depression
election of 1934
Earlier, in a weekend campaign
appearance in Topeka, Dole had said that
heavy GOP losses on Tuesday could cripple
Reagan for the rest of his term “If we take a
bath, if he loses 25 to 30 House seats and he
seats now held by 19 Democrats, 13
Republicans, and retiring independent Sen
Harry Byrd Jr of Virginia, who voted for
Democratic Senate control
The contest for Byrd's seat is rated a
tossup In New Jersey, two surveys showed
Democrat Frank Lautenberg had whittled
the early lead of Republican Rep Millicent
Fenwick into a race too close to forecast
The New Jersey contest is for a seat now
held by an appointed Republican who did
not run
In Missouri, Republican Sen. John
Danforth acknowledged that “I’m fighting
for my political life1' after a poll conducted
for the St Louis Globe-Democrat and
KMOX-TV showed Democratic challenger
Harriett Woods edging ahead of him.
Reagan campaigned twice for Utah
Sen Orrin Hatch. The pollsters said his
contest with Democratic Mayor Ted Wilson
of Salt Lake City was a close one, with Hatch
favored
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