Fallout Fears And Facts THE UNBORN GENERATION KDITORS NOTE What effect might today's fallout from Soviet bomb testing have on children yet unborn? Scientists aren t agreed on the extent of the danger, though most geneticists consider some harm likely. This is the sec ond of three articles on fallout. By ALTON BLAKESLEE Associated Press Science Writer I NEW YORK f AP) - The great est toll from the Soviet I'mon's monster 50-megalon H-bomb may be among tomorrow's children. Princess Visits Maryhill Museum MARYHILL. Wash. fAP) Thirty-five years ago. Queen Ma rie of Romania rame to Maryhill to dedicate the Maryhill museum.! htiilt in her hnnnr hv railroad tv-l eoon Sam Hill. She was accompanied by her son and her 17-year-old dauehter. Princess tleana, then an interna tional beauty. Ileana princess of a kingdom! that no longer exists returned! Wednesday to the museum to look; at the displays of royal treasures of bygone days. Still a strikingly handsome! woman, Princess Ileana wandered j through the museum, looked at' pictures of herself at 17, and ex-j a mined two thrones, one from her mother's summer palace and the other from the queen's private sitting room. It was a good deal quieter than the first trip she made to the mu seum, which sits on a bluff over looking the Columbia River. Then, the royal party was taken to the museum in a private rail road ear. Schoolchildren greeted the party, waving tiny U.S. flags. When Queen Marie snippped the ribbon in the dedication, flocks of white pigeons were released. Princess Ileana, now the wife of Pr. Stefan Isreseu of Boston, is a lecturer and worker for the Ortho dox Church of Romania in Amer ica. She was the speaker for the Yakima Knife and Fork club Wed nesday and her hosts drove her to the museum. Ileana can not go back to her homeland, now under Communist control. She has lived in this country since 19.S0. lis radioactive fallout might doom huiulrriis uf lulure genera tions to early death or physical or mental detects from hereditary damage. Almost all geneticists assume that any increase in radiation could cause genetic damage to some people. Inerata Sliaht Most think the effect from pres-! em lauout aim mat added now by the Soviets will be a very slight traction of one per cent in crease over the number of children presently born with genetic de tects. The increase could be so slight as not to be delectable. But with 100 million children born in this world each year, even a slight increase in the rate of defective births could mean siza ble numbers of damaged or still born humans in So to 100 years or more. Dr. Linus Pauling, famous Cal ifornia Institute of Technology chemist and a crusader against bomb testing, does estimate a number: From a 50-megatun bomb alone. 40.000 infants born with physical' or mental defects in the next few generations throughout the world, he says. And 400.000 more geneti cally injured during the next 6, (KM) years thruugh radioactive carbon ii iictitru wy sum a uuiuu. Other scientists disagree with his estimate, particularly that dealing with carbon-14. Crucial Facts Unknown The difficulty in any estimate Is that some crucial facts are not known about human genes, produc ed in the sex glands, which deter mine the inherited characteristics that babies will have. It is known that radiation can alter or mutate genes, and that most mutations are harmful. H is not known if genes can re sist tiny amounts of radiation, such as represented by fallout atoms which enter sex glands or genes. All the evidence from experi ments with animals, fruit flies, and single cells indicate there is no threshold or tolerable level. Thus, geneticists assume any in crease in radiation is potentially harmful. Encouraging Note One encouraging note, from mouse experiments, is that chron ic exposure to a low dose of ra diation (10 roentgens a day) given over a number of days produces ; fewer mutations than an equal to tal dose given all at once. Expos ure of sex pianos to fallout atoms can be chronic or long-lasting, ami at au almost uilinitesimally small dose Many experts assume that nat ural background radiation has al ways been causing some of the genetic mutations to which the hu man race is subject. Heat and chemicals are mure powerful caus es of genetic changes. A National Academy of Sciences committee has estimated two bil lion children will be born in the world during the next 30 years, and that come four million of them would possess tangible genetic ef fects from natuial or spontaneous causes. Diflerent authorities estimate 2 to 10 per cent of such genetic de fects might be due to natural back ground radiation. So, even a slight increase in ra dioactivity produced by bomb tests could increase this rate of genetic mutations. The experts all agree the increase wouWl not be enough to cause any worry about the fu ture of the human race by any means. Estimates Can Be Made Various estimates can be made, as Dr. Pauling does, of the abso lute numbers of persons who might be affected by the additional ra diation frm fallout. All such guess es start from the unknown as to what natural radiation actually is doing. Dr. Pauling sees a sizable total number of future infants affected out o f many many billions who would be born in the next 6,000 years from carbon-14 created by H. bombs. The H-bomb reaction releases neutrons which can change nitro gen atoms in the air into carbon 14. Cosmic rays from space do the same thing, and create the natural carbon-14 which enters all living things on earth. Dr. Pauling estimates a 50-mcg-aton H-bomb would create enough carbon-14 to cause 411 000 deaths or defects from genetic changes in the next 6.000 years. Reason: carbon-14 can become part of the chemical materials oof genes, and damage genes by the rays it emits, or because it then changes back to nitrogen. Carbon-14 Over-Estimated Other scientists hold Dr. Paul ing has far over-estimated the amount of carbon-14 from bombs which would be available to affect humans. And some say that through mod ern treatment, and humanitarian treatment, we are keeping alive people ill or weak because of de i lective genes, and the fact they can ha 'e children may result in passing along more detective genes than would ever result trom fall out radiation. i ; A consensus of the experts: bombi Resting represents a definite but Ismail hazard to human posterity.! Friday: Fallouts bad actors. Hospital News Visiting Hours t to 3:50 o.m. and I it I .m Douglas Community Hospital Admitted Medical: Jim Elwood. Annie Steele. Mrs. Wally Miller, M r s. George Lindstrom. Mrs. Tom Har ris, all of Roseburg; Clarence walker. Winston, Surgery: Mrs. Clifford Lovell, I Mrs. Max kimmel. Koseburg, j Discharged j Mrs. Alfred Boyd, J. Henry Bar-j neck, Joyce Welling, all of Rose-j burg: Mrs. D. L. Burton. Wilburs ! Linda Steeprow, Kiddle; Jav iScholield, Kiddle; Mrs. Frank! Butcher and son Kevin James, j Sutherlin; Mrs. Larry Exceen and daughter Lisa Jean, Dillard. 1 Mercy Hospital Admitted Medical: R. Leonard Lark. Jen ny Jory. Mrs. Albert Samuels, all I of Roseburg; Mrs. Laurance Ed wards. Siilherlin; Mrs. Glen Bar I ton, Winston; Kenton Parsons, i Umpqua. I Surgery: Mrs. Lewis Wilson, i Roseburg. Discharged ' Melvin Rand. Dena Hansen, No ! lie Bicktord, Mrs. Edward Shillet. ! Mrs. John Wyatl. Mrs. Gilder Ford. Sirs. Cliftord Courtney, j George lnsley, Craig Jordan, all I of Roseburg; Ann Blakeley, Suth ierlin; Mrs. Kober Warmack, Win jston: Russell Emel. Yoncalla; Kar en Thayer, Oakland; Mrs. Bobby Lincecum, Myrtle Creek. Unemployment Climbs Over Most Of State SALEM ( API I ncmplovment climbed everywhere in Oregon over the past four weeks, except in the Ontario area, as seasonal agricultural work tapered off. the State Employment Department said Wednesday. It said that 14.092 claims for unemployment insurance were filed for the week ending Oct. 26 com pared to 11.395 tour w eeks earlier This was a 23 per cent increase. Unemployment was highest In the Grants Pass area where 9.3 per cent of the labor force covered by unemployment insur ance was out of work. The low est rates, 24 per cent, were in Corvallis and Ontario. Percentages elsewhere in the state were 38 at Eugene, up .7; 4 9 at Medford, up 1.3: 4)3 at Pendleton and Milton-Freewater. up .9; 2 8 in Portland, up .2; and 3.2 in Salem, up 1.1. The percentage of persons cov ered by unemployment insurance who were out of work in Oregon was 31 while that for the entire t'nited Slates was 3.6. Employment Commissioner Da vid II. Cameron said that extend ed temporary unemployment in surance claims were increasing. He said there were 323 of these claims for the week ending Oct. 26 compared to 2.VS for the week ending Sept. 28. To date 122,494 benefit weeks have been paid un der this program for a total of $4,028,762. Oregon's unemployment insur ance tnist fund, he said, con tained $43,820,312. compared to $42,931,588 the prior week and $47,946,280 a year ago. Thur., Nov. 2, 1961 The News Review, Roseburg, Ore. 5 A YOUNG GIRL sifts through debris for personal belongings ond walks away with pait of a bed as residents of Belize began to dig their way out after the onslaught of Hur ricane Hattie which struck the city early Tuesday. (UPI Telephoto) SHAW IN 'CARETAKER' NEW YORK (AP) Robert Sutherlin Junior High PTA Sets Member Drive A membership campaign contest ; rentage of parents joining the PTA Shaw, an actor who doubles as a was launched last week by tlie!wl" l,e presented with a special writer, has been signed to appear Sutherlin Junior High PTA, under j pr'ze' , , t ,,!!" ,!,roa(!wa.!: Pro,d,uc,ll,n r.ineiopes eie seiu Home v eu-, n ai utu iiiuvi s I ue imeianer. nevlay with each student in the The British player was recently school, reports correspondent Mrs. hailed bv London critics for his Jerry DeMuth. I novel, "The Sun Doctors." the direction of Mrs. Betty Ouel lette, membership chairman. The room with the highest per- ENGLISH STAGE IN FRANCE PARIS fAP) A permanent English-language theater is being1 planned here by Warren E. Tra- bant, an ex journalist from New iVork. I Trabant expects to present j ! translations of current French pro- j jductinns, plus soma imports from! Broadway. ' ! OFF-BROADWAY ON TOUR NEW YORK (AP) Off-Broadway is becoming a source of cross country theatrical entertainment. Two long-run shows have been booked for tours this fall. "The Threepenny Opera." hous ed for six years in a small Green wich Village playhouse, started its trek at Toronto in September. In October, at Dayton. Ohio, "Hedda Gabler" begins an S week trip. Sae the Chevrolet Golden Anniversary Show CBS-TV-Friday, Nov. S, 8:30-9:30 p.m. E.S.T. w NEWULi H W GOING GREAT GUNS! jagl Ckftv II Xora iO0 Sport Ct tand thrrt ere 3 wee models, just as mftf, v hert tht$ oh ram jrom This one was on the road to success right from the start. You get a new kind of solid simplicity blended with the economy and dependability you know yon on count on from all the Chevrolet family. Beneath the hood ... a frugal 4- or satiny fi-rylinder engine (there's a choice in most models) that's downright miserly on gas. Nine new sized different models ... sedans, agons, bardtop and convertible. Like to see and try one? It's easy , . . just follow the croud-. It you're looking tor tevfihilily at its Sunday best drop in at your Chevrolet dealer's and join the celebration. It's Chevrolet's golden anniversary year, and this new Chevy II is making it a year to remember. Here's Body by Fisher comfort that makes many a full-size car wonder how it's done room for solid citizens, bag and baggagp, in all sedans and two-seat wagons. And, thanks to new Mnnn-l'lalr rrnr rprirj, you get a remark ably smooth ride that, rivals mucii higher priced cars. Ncwmid of Worth Join in Chevrolet's 50th Anniversary celebration at your dealer's now By picking up a special order form from your dealer, you can order a "(iolden Anniversary Album" LP recording of favorite Amencan songs from Chevrolet for just $1. (Kor your convenience, many dealers will have the album for sale in their showrooms.) 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