THE DAILY ASTORIAN • TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 24, 2015 NORTH COAST Record-setting Chinook salmon season drawing to a close soon Historically strong El ˜ may only last a Nino season, forecasters say Columbia Basin Bulletin COLUMBIA RIVER — Some 953,706 fall Chinook passed Bonneville Dam as of Nov. 12, the most fall Chi- nook passing the dam since it was built 77 years ago. The previous record was set LQ ZKHQ ¿VK passed the dam. Upriver the number of fall Chinook spawning at Hanford Reach is also breaking re- cords and passage of fall Chi- nook into the Snake River is the second best year since the four lower Snake River dams were built in the 1970s. The estimated 2015 fall Chinook run at the Columbia River mouth, however, still VWDQGV DW ¿VK WKH second largest run since the construction of Bonneville Dam and 132 percent of the preseason forecast. That’s just short of the record-breaking 2013 run of fall Chinook (1,268,400) at the river’s mouth and slight- ly more than last year’s count (1,159,100). The run estimate of fall Chinook was set in mid-Oc- tober by the U.S. v. Oregon Technical Advisory Com- mittee which updates salmon and steelhead run estimates every couple of weeks while FRPPHUFLDODQGWULEDO¿VKLQJ is taking place on the Co- lumbia River. The advisory committee quit doing run size estimates as the fall treaty and QRQWUHDW\ &KLQRRN ¿VKHULHV wound down. The committee ZLOO ¿QDOL]H UXQ VL]HV DW WKH end of season. “Breaking this record to- day is truly something to cel- ebrate,” Paul Lumley, execu- tive director of the Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Com- mission, said of the Bonne- ville Dam record. “The suc- cess of this fall Chinook run UHÀHFWV WKH UHJLRQ¶V FRPPLW- ment to healthy salmon runs and the collaborative spirit that has made it possible.” Shannon Dininny/AP Photo File The Columbia River flows through the Hanford Reach National Monument, Wash., in this 2007 photo. The federal government says fall Chinook salmon are returning to the Hanford Reach section of the river in record-setting numbers. of fall Chinook, listed under the federal Endangered Spe- cies Act as threatened in 1992, “to intensive restoration ef- forts by the Nez Perce Tribe,” according to a commission news release. As planned, Idaho closed DOO IDOO &KLQRRN ¿VKLQJ RQ Nov. 17 on the Snake River. The season ended Oct. 31 in the Clearwater and Salmon rivers and in the Snake River, except the reach from Cliff Mountain Rapids to Hells Canyon Dam. That section closed Nov. 17. As of Nov. 1, anglers had caught and kept 150 marked adults and 22 jack fall Chi- nook, and caught and released XQPDUNHG¿VKLQWKHORZ- er Clearwater River. They caught and kept 540 marked adults and 133 marked jacks, DQGUHOHDVHGPDUNHG¿VKLQ the Snake River. Anglers also caught and released 2,889 un- PDUNHG¿VKLQWKH6QDNH5LY- er, according to information provided by the Idaho Depart- ment of Fish and Game. Thanksgiving Night Begins at 8 p.m. Holiday Kickoff Event *Free Snacks and Hot Coffee. Enter to win drawing. Some 59,059 of the salm- on have passed Lower Granite Dam, the most upstream dam on the lower Snake River, as RI 7KXUVGD\ 7KH ¿VK FRP- mission gives credit to the run as rain- and snow-producing systems have been passing through California every few SACRAMENTO — Fore- days, and that pattern is ex- casters still expect historically pected to continue through No- strong El Niño conditions to vember. However, the storms usher in a parade of storm clouds have so far been brought by a this winter, but the phenomenon polar jet stream pushing cold systems down from the north, PD\¿]]OHE\VSULQJWLPH The federal Climate Pre- said Michelle Mead, a Nation- diction Center still expects that al Weather Service warning this winter’s El Niño could coordinator in Sacramento. “Therefore, the recent rank among the three strongest since 1950 and that the typical storms are not associated with pattern of southern storms will El Niño,” Mead said in an email. “Rather, this is a more PDWHULDOL]HRI¿FLDOVVDLG Warming sea-surface tem- ‘typical’ Northern California peratures in the equatorial Pa- weather pattern for this time of FL¿F2FHDQQHDUO\PDWFKWKRVH year. It’s just that we haven’t in the fall of 1997 and exceed seen a typical fall/winter sea- those in 1972 and 1982, all big son over the past four years, rainfall years, the center notes. so these systems seem more But after peaking this win- unusual to folks.” ter, the El Niño pattern may Warmer storms with recede quickly, returning to the higher snow levels neutral sea-surface and atmo- El Niño storms tend to be spheric conditions that have prevailed through much of warmer with higher snow lev- California’s four-year drought. els, so when the sub-tropical “There is an approximately jet stream storm track kicks 95 percent chance that El Niño in, the potential for warmer will continue through Northern storms will increase, she said. Even so, many areas in Hemisphere 2015-16, gradual- ly weakening through spring Central California are off to 2016,” the CPC concluded in a fast start in terms of rain- fall, exceeding their normal a written update. seasonal totals, while many California needs more northern areas are still lagging than one wet winter behind their normal precipi- Water experts have said tation levels for this time of California would need more than year, according to the National one wet and snowy winter to Weather Service. For instance, Salinas had emerge from its historic drought. The last El Niño in Cali- recorded 2.21 inches of rain- fornia in the winter of 2009- fall for the water year as of 2010 interrupted a three-year Nov. 12, well above its aver- drought. But before this year’s age of 1.03 inches, while the recurrence, sea surface tem- 2.35 inches that had fallen on peratures across the equatorial Eureka as of Nov. 12 was well 3DFL¿FKDYHPRVWO\EHHQQHDU below its seasonal average of average since spring of 2012, 4.11 inches, according to the meaning neither El Niño or weather service. The water /D 1LQD LQÀXHQFHG ZHDWKHU year begins Oct. 1. El Niño’s storm track may patterns. During much of that time, a strong ridge of high WDNHKROGE\WKH¿UVWZHHNRI pressure off California’s coast December, when California’s blocked storms from entering, Central Valley could see thun- derstorms with afternoon tem- causing the current drought. The latest outlook comes peratures in the mid-60s. By TIM HEARDEN Capital Press of Thursday, amounts to just ¿VK The coho run is so dismal that the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife closed UHFUHDWLRQDOFRKRVDOPRQ¿VK- ing on Eagle Creek, effective Nov. 8. The closure was at the request of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service which oper- ates the Eagle Creek National Fish Hatchery near Estacada. “Based on reports through this week, returns to the hatchery are well below their production goals,” said Chris Kern, deputy administrator Protection work to RI 2'):¶V ¿VK GLYLVLRQ continue “Unfortunately, this action As they celebrate the re- is necessary to aid the situa- turn of the fall Chinook, tion.” Lumley pledged “to continue 6WHHOKHDG ¿VKLQJ LQ (DJOH our protection and restoration Creek remains open. Fishing work that helped make it pos- in the Clackamas River is not sible. The lessons the region affected by the rule change. has learned in achieving the Lower Columbia Riv- success we’ve seen so far will er tributaries in Washington help us address upcoming have been restricted for nearly impacts such as the predicted two weeks due to the poor run El Niño this winter and the of coho salmon. long-term effects of climate Finally, the two-state Co- change.” lumbia River compact ap- 7KH ¿VK FRPPLVVLRQ VDLG proved an extension of treaty Disappointing run of that this year’s fall Chinook VHWOLQHVWXUJHRQ¿VKLQJLQWKH coho “enjoyed excellent ocean con- Bonneville and The Dalles The announcements were reservoirs. Harvest by tribal GLWLRQV DQG XQOLNH WKH ¿VK migrating during the sum- made as tribal, commercial ¿VKHUV WKLV IDOO LQFOXGHG DQ mer, they enjoyed good mi- DQG UHFUHDWLRQDO ¿VKHULHV DUH 11.5 day period in late Oc- grating conditions. The fall winding down a late summer tober in the The Dalles pool, &KLQRRN DOVR EHQH¿WHG IURP and fall that saw record-break- where 119 sturgeon were har- tribal efforts using hatcheries ing runs of fall Chinook, a vested, and 11.5 days in the to rebuild naturally spawning smaller than average run of Bonneville pool, where 26 populations throughout the steelhead and a disappointing ¿VKZHUHKDUYHVWHG Columbia River Basin, har- run of coho salmon that, as Some 404 sturgeon were vest management actions on WKH 3DFL¿F 2FHDQ DQG PDLQ- stem Columbia, and strong collaborative efforts to im- prove habitat.” Farther upstream at Han- ford Reach near Washington’s (some stores open AT 6 p.m.) Tri-Cities, fall Chinook salm- on are spawning in record numbers. Biologists estimate as many as 200,000 of the ¿VK DUH VSDZQLQJ DW +DQIRUG Reach alongside the Hanford Nuclear Reservation, and RI WKRVH DUH FRQ¿QHG to a one-mile stretch of river known as Vernita Bar. Nearly 500,000 fall Chi- nook (498,969) crossed Mc- Nary Dam, the southern bound- ary of the 51-mile long Hanford Reach, to get to the Reach. This represents the most spawning fall Chinook at Hanford Reach since the 1930s, according to the Bon- neville Power Administration. There is also good news for the fall Chinook run into Pick a gift off the the Snake River in Idaho, which is the second largest tree with purchase run on record, according to of $50 or more. WKH¿VKFRPPLVVLRQ Threatened species 3A harvested throughout 2015 by WULEDO¿VKHUVLQWKH%RQQHYLOOH pool, leaving an allotment of ¿VK ,Q7KH 'DOOHV SRRO WULEDO¿VKHUVKDYHFDXJKW leaving an allotment of 113. They have caught 884 stur- geon in the John Day pool, leaving an allotment of 116, EXW KDYH FKRVHQ QRW WR ¿VK that pool with setlines. Fish- ing will be allowed to the end of 2015 in the Bonneville pool and to Wednesday in The Dalles pool. 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